Iowa Caucus Discussion


“A few dozen”? Try 1600 different sites - and each one has to provide three numbers for each candidate that got any votes.

I’ll give you an example based on a photo of a calculation sheet at CNN - Pottawattamie County precinct CB09, with 13 county delegates.
The final vote totals were, Klobuchar 31, Biden 24, Buttigieg 21, Sanders 18, Warren 17. Each one is divided by 112 (the number of voters in the first round - apparently, one left, as the final numbers add up to 111), then multiplied by 13 (the number of county delegates that precinct elects) and rounded to get each candidate’s county delegate count; Klobuchar got 4, Biden got 3, and the other thre got 2 each.
The precinct captain has to send three sets of numbers:
(a) The “first round” votes - Biden 21, Buttigieg 19, Klobuchar 29, Sanders 17, Warren 17, Yang 8, Uncommitted 1 (this is where “112” comes from);
(b) The “final round” votes, listed above
© The State Delegate Equivalents - Pottawattamie County has 48 state delegates and a total of 400 county delegates, so multiply the county delegates by 48/400, which is 0.12, to get the State Delegate Equivalents: 0.48 for Klobuchar, 0.36 for Biden, and 0.24 each for Buttigieg, Sanders, and Warren.
I would not be surprised if, in the app, they only had to enter the first two vote counts and the final number of delegates, and the app could calcualte the SDEs automatically based on the county, but without the app, either the precinct captain or the person taking down the numbers had to calculate them manually.

Remember, that’s just one precinct; do this about 1600 more times.

Pretty hard, apparently. NPR is reporting that phones were the backup plan, but were overwhelmed, leading to on-hold times of 1+ hours and many precinct officers finally giving up and deciding to try again today.

Last night, I checked my phone and the NYTimes polls said Pete was ahead of Bernie by a few votes. That surprised me, but it is too early to tell anything right now.

As the Washington Post noted this morning, if those numbers are real, then the Iowa debacle did Biden a small favor by shielding him from the brunt of the heat that he would be facing for performing so badly. But he’d face huge question marks going on forward. Buttigieg may have decisively eclipsed Biden here, although Biden still commands big support from African-Americans.

Yup. If he isn’t the nominee, I’ll stay home and play here

Probably an overseas company in China or India did the app since they were the lowest bidder.


These are definitely the people we should have designing the health care system.

Donald Trump appreciates your support.

It would probably end up with a bunch of people demanding the most exquisite MRI for their sore knee; but if the system doesn’t deliver, it’s euthanasia.

The Iowa Democratic Party is looking to hire a Member Services Coordinator. Just posted. Get those resumes in.

Also, Shadow Democratic Digital Firm, the people who made the app, are looking to hire a Client Success Representative. Posted this morning.

Think of what a pain in the ass it is getting through on a 800 number when something goes wrong. And they’re set up in call centers with a staff of people who do that 40 hours a week.

Is it my imagination or are there still no results.

I could set up an Excel spreadsheet and have the counties email me the results and give you the final outcome within an hour.

An Iowa friend reported from his caucus:

The people have spoken, and what the people want…differs wildly.

Yeah, I saw a few people on TV last night who had no trouble tabulating the results, there was just no way to report them.

Shawn Sebastian was a precinct secretary. He posted the results to Twitter and announced them live in interviews on both CNN and MSNBC all while he was on hold for something like 2 hours trying to report the results to the IDP.

The big question is are Dems tired of the Atlantic Seaboard elite representing the party? Specifically Hillary, Bernie; Biden, Bernie and Warren? I wonder if Iowa will give us any indication of if that trend exists.

Hillary is as much suburban Chicago and Arkansas as she is Chappaqua, New York, but point taken — I was wondering the same.

Clinton and Warren aren’t really from there.

Clinton grew up in Illinois and lived in Arkansas a fair bit as an adult, then DC and New York later in life. I don’t think New Yorkers think of her as a New Yorker.

Warren grew up in Oklahoma and lived in Texas. In her law professor career she taught all over the place, including Michigan and Texas, before eventually putting some roots down in Massachusetts.

I don’t get it. The last two Dem presidents were from Chicago and Little Rock. Why would people be sick of the Atlantic elite representing the party? I guess Kerry was one.