Israel, and the USA as of June 21, 2025, strikes dozens of targets in Iran, including nuclear program

Handful of launches, all shot down. Sounds like maybe 3.

But actually, the ceasefire isn’t meant to go into effect for another hour (?).

Israel’s cabinet just wrapped up a meeting to discuss the ceasefire, they haven’t announced their response yet though.

And on top of that, as you alluded to, the B-2 is pretty old stuff. It was designed in the 1980s. The message that’s being sent to every bad actor in the world right now is, “If the crusty geezer B-2 could do that, then what do you think the new Northrop B-21 Raider, which hasn’t even entered service yet, is going to be able to do?”

Iran foreign minister: no final ceasefire agreement; if Israel stops, we’ll stop

Trump’s Cease-Fire Announcement Catches His Own Top Officials by Surprise

This does not sounds like what happens when a ceasefire is agreed to:

Israel yet to confirm Iran ceasefire, Netanyahu asks ministers to avoid comment

Another barrage just launched

<< Deleted by poster…I keep forgetting which thread I am in…my fault >>

Moderating:

BREAKING. NEWS. THREAD. Take speculative discussion elsewhere.

One report of a missile strike somewhere in the south. Search and rescue teams are dispatched, but no injuries reported yet.

Direct hit from a ballistic missile on a seven story residential building. Heavy property damage, no reports of any injuries, amazingly enough. All other missiles seem to have been shot down.

Update: two serious injuries, a handful of light.

Iranian state news: we have imposed a ceasefire on the Zionist Enemy after the success of Operation Herald of Victory (their name for the strike on the US base).

Sounds like they might be declaring victory to explain to their population the cessation of hostilities. This may have been the last barrage, for now.

Eta: just kidding! They have fired another barrage.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/3-killed-in-beersheba-missile-strike/

Three dead in the latest bombing in Beersheba.

Damn… They were still being treated when I stepped away from the news.

Iran is continuing to launch a trickle of missiles. I think it’s fair to say, the ceasefire seems to be off.

Was it ever actually in effect? Other than in Trump’s imagination?

Quite fitting that the “12-day-war” was folllowed by a “12-hour truce”.

I guess we’re now in “12-day-war-II”?

I believe most of the news filtering in is still about the handful of missiles Iran launched either shortly before or shortly (i.e. minutes) after the ceasefire was meant to go into effect. Israel has pledged to respond by striking IRGC targets, possibly with US approval, but if Iran accepts those strikes as a tit-for-tat and there are no further exchanges after that it’s possible that a ceasefire might still hold.

(It’s also possible Iran was being insincere from the getgo; a number of drones were also intercepted overnight. But as @Babale has noted, there are good reasons for both parties to want even a temporary pause.)

There was an attack about half an hour before the ceasefire came into effect that killed 4 people in an apartment building in Beersheba, but that’s not what this is about - there was also a missile launched at 10:30 local time, three and a half hours after the ceasefire was supposed to have come into effect, which was intercepted before it reached Israel. That’s the violation Israel retaliated for.

As for what happened now, we’ll see. Despite the fact that in rankles terribly that they can kill four of our people and get away with it, Israel, in general, wants a ceasefire. The country needs a full night’s sleep.

Trump drops an F-bomb on live TV as his ceasefire falls apart.

“You basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the f— they’re doing. Do you understand that?” he told reporters Tuesday morning on his way to the NATO summit in The Hague

.

Ah—got it. Sorry, I’d seen there were alerts for the launches in the north ~17 minutes after midnight Eastern but not anything after that. But, right, agreed to your main point. Probably chief among them besides maybe first responders the IDF? The Air Force has always had an impressive ability to surge operations, but I don’t think they’ve conducted sorties at this tempo (over a thousand in eight days) since at least 2006, and that did not involve multiple 1,000-km missions. None of that is sustainable.