Republicans like to pretend Robert Bork was the first Supreme Court nominee who became a political issue. They want to pretend the political battle over Abe Fortas’ nomination never happened.
Collins is a tool and will ultimately do what the party tells her to do. She’s the one who let DeVos get through the committee and then made the worthless vote against her as “unqualified”, knowing full well that her passage was safe. She’s also the one who let the ACA mandate repeal pass, supposedly because McConnell made some legislative promises that never happened. So she’s either a complete moron (of course they weren’t going to happen) or was just shielding her ass while doing what she was always going to do anyway.
The only time she shows even a little spine is when she’s part of a group, such as with the vote (with McCain and Murkowski) against the full ACA repeal. Get her on her own and she folds like a lawn chair.
Collins pretends to be independent-minded. Her actions seem to indicate otherwise. She will vote the way she is told.
But will the appointment end in November or will it go until 2020?
His term ends after the 2022 elections, as would his replacement’s.
'Zackly.
However, I can find nothing from any reputable media outlet reporting this story. I accepted the assertion at face value in answering the question posed, but I should not have. If this is happening, McCain himself hasn’t released such news.
No, according to AZ state law, the appointee serves until the next scheduled state-wide general election. A new Senator is elected at that point, to serve out the remainder of the seat’s term. So if McCain leaves office, there’s be an appointee until 2018 (or 2020), then a new Senator would be elected to serve until 2022.
The law I linked doesn’t say anything about how close you have to a general election to have to wait for the next one, but presumably there is such a date - if a Senator unexpectedly died the day before the general election, you could hardly expect to vote in a new one the next day. But I don’t know where the article in the OP came up with July 4 being the magical day.
I don’t find it so cut and dried:
Whether they meant “the next general election for that particular Senate seat” or “the next general election” isn’t clear to me.
Section A of the law:
If the appointee held office until the next election for that particular Senate seat, there’d be no need for the final sentence - there would be no “unexpired term” to fill.
Too late to edit:
According to this article, written when McCain first revealed his cancer, the process would be appointee until 2018, election in 2018 to serve until 2022. It quoted both the former & current state elections directors.
And here’s an article from The Hill stating that the AZ legislature was considering changing the existing law so that had McCain left office after March 31 2018, the appointee could serve until the 2020 election instead of the 2018 election so they wouldn’t have to worry about the seat coming up for election in 2018.
First of all, I haven’t seen any other news sources with rumors of McCain resigning on July 4. McCain voted to confirm Bork so there is probably no judge extreme enough to cause McCain to vote no or resign to allow a successor to vote in favor of Trump’s nominee. However, there’s always the chance that Trump will appoint a Harriet Miers type, completely unqualified type or McCain wants just one more shot to stick it to Trump, knowing that eventually a far right judge will be appointed to take Kennedy’s seat.
I still can’t find the definite answer for how long McCain’s replacement would serve. Everyone agrees it is too late for an election for 2018. So, the replacement would serve until at least 2020. Arizona has never had a governor appoint a replacement senator.
My WAG is that the current governor, Doug Ducey, would appoint a caretaker Senator until 2020 and then run for the seat himself in 2020.
Here’s the link to the law:
https://www.azleg.gov/viewdocument/?docName=http://www.azleg.gov/ars/16/00222.htm
Yes, I believe you are correct. So it seems that the appointee only gets to serve until facing election in 2020, the winner thereof only gets to serve two years until the 2022 election.
We do?
You only need a democracy-disdaining partisan Supreme Court to let you footdrag long enough.
She’s already laying the groundwork to fold and confirm whoever she’s told to confirm:
So there’s really only a couple conservative judges she thinks would be opposed to Roe v Wade and it doesn’t really matter anyway because Roberts would vote to preserve it. Until, of course, that doesn’t happen then – Whoopsie! – what can ya do? ¯_(ツ)_/¯
I should have phrased that differently. The Arizona Secretary of State has decided that May 31 was the cutoff date. That seems reasonable since their primaries are in August.
This. Anytime McCain is too ill to be present in the Senate chambers, the GOP majority is only 50-49, and just one defection can kill a nomination.
With a healthy GOP replacement for McCain, the margin’s up to 51-49. One defection doesn’t make a difference any more - just makes it 50-50, and Pence breaks the tie. So under this scenario, there’d have to be two GOP defections to kill the nomination.
Whatever the slim possibility might be that their constituents might persuade Collins or Murkowski to switch their vote on a particularly egregious nominee, the chances that both would are essentially zero.
Correct, and lets not write off 1 or 2 democrats voting for the Supreme court nomination.
While Collins and Murkowski might be moderates, they should be aware if the Democrats get a majority in the senate and the Presidency, they will be voting against whichever liberal they nominate in all likelihood. Therefore it is likely they will support Trump’s choice.
meh, forget it. It’s Chinatown, Jake.
Collins voted to confirm both of Obama’s nominees to the SCOTUS.