According to a Quinnipiac University poll of August 10, in Florida Kerry now has 47% support, Bush 41%, Nader 4%. An earlier Quinnipiac poll had them in a dead heat on June 29. (See http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x12887.xml.)
This is welcome news to me, but also astonishing. The Republicans are really strong in this state – they control the governor’s office and both houses of the state legislature. In fact, Gov. Jeb Bush is now on his second term. I campaigned for Bill McBride when he challenged Bush in 2002, don’t remember the vote margin but suffice to say, McBride got thoroughly clobbered. Both of our senators are Democrats – but of 17 our 25 representatives are Republicans. And we all remember how close the presidential vote was in 2000. How could Kerry lead by such a comfortable margin, in Florida of all places, at this point in the campaign season? Or is there some reason to doubt the poll results?