Late CFB Bowls -- Which "favored" team(s) will LOSE?

The Game Room
1

Please refer to this thread (especially this post and this post) for the reasoning behind this poll.

http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=16915123&postcount=41
http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=16915466&postcount=42

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Also refer to these links for background:

Links

2013-14 college football bowl schedule
http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
http://www.cbssports.com/general/writer/jerry-palm/24043695/bowl-eligible-teams

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<<< “Favored” teams are underscored =======

===================================== Late Games (11)



AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Shreveport, La. -   12:30 p.m. ET, Dec. 31
Arizona vs. Boston College
=======

Sun Bowl
El Paso, Texas -        2 p.m. ET, Dec. 31
Virginia Tech vs. UCLA
                  ====

Liberty Bowl
Memphis, Tenn. -        4 p.m. ET, Dec. 31
Mississippi State vs. Rice
=================

Chick-fil-A Bowl 
Atlanta, Ga. -          8 p.m. ET, Dec. 31
Texas A&M vs. Duke
=========

Gator Bowl 
Jacksonville, Fla. -   12 p.m. ET, Jan. 1
Georgia vs. Nebraska
=======

Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, Texas -        12 p.m. ET, Jan. 1
UNLV vs. North Texas
         ===========
 
Capital One Bowl 
Orlando, Fla. -         1 p.m. ET, Jan. 1
South Carolina vs. Wisconsin
                   =========

Outback Bowl 
Tampa, Fla. -           1 p.m. ET, Jan. 1
LSU vs. Iowa
===

Cotton Bowl 
Arlington, Texas -   7:30 p.m. ET, Jan. 3
Missouri vs. Oklahoma State
========

BBVA Compass Bowl 
Birmingham, Ala. -      1 p.m. ET, Jan. 4
Houston vs. Vanderbilt
            ==========

GoDaddy Bowl 
Mobile, Ala. -          9 p.m. ET, Jan. 5
Ball State vs. Arkansas State
==========

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2

It may assist your decision-making to see the Sagarin rankings on the teams. These are simply the ranking position

numbers (1 is FSU for instance) and the smaller number is the higher ranking.



===================================== Late Games (11)

AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Arizona vs. Boston College           22 vs 58
                                     ==
Sun Bowl
Virginia Tech vs. UCLA               36 vs 13 
                                           ==
Liberty Bowl
Mississippi State vs. Rice           41 vs 69
                                     ==
Chick-fil-A Bowl 
Texas A&M vs. Duke                   18 vs 42
                                     == 
Gator Bowl 
Georgia vs. Nebraska                 19 vs 49
                                     ==
Heart of Dallas Bowl
UNLV vs. North Texas                 93 vs 66 
                                           ==
Capital One Bowl 
South Carolina vs. Wisconsin         17 vs 10
                                           ==
Outback Bowl 
LSU vs. Iowa                         15 vs 29
                                     == 
Cotton Bowl 
Missouri vs. Oklahoma State           9 vs 14
                                      =
BBVA Compass Bowl 
Houston vs. Vanderbilt               45 vs 44 
                                           ==
GoDaddy Bowl 
Ball State vs. Arkansas State        64 vs 112 
                                     ==

You can see that the highest ranked of the group is Missouri at 9 and the lowest is Arkansas State at 112.

Check out the BBVA Compass Bowl’s numbers!

3

Here’s the first array:



=================================================

                         Ariz  UCLA  MissSt  TexA&M  Georgia  NorthTex  Wisc  LSU  Mizzou  Vandy  BallSt  None 
                         =====================================================================================

Munch                1                                                  Wisc   
Nauplius             3                               Georgia            Wisc       Mizzou   
Zeldar               3         UCLA                           NorthTex  Wisc

======================   =======================================================================================
      3              7      0   1       0      0        1         1      3     0      1      0      0      0  /7  

=================================================
4

After a little more action:



=================================================

                         Ariz  UCLA  MissSt  TexA&M  Georgia  NorthTex  Wisc  LSU  Mizzou  Vandy  BallSt  None 
                         =====================================================================================

armedmonkey          1                                                  Wisc
Munch                1                                                  Wisc   
Nauplius             3                               Georgia            Wisc       Mizzou   
swampbear            1                                                                                    None
Zeldar               3         UCLA                           NorthTex  Wisc

======================   ========================================================================================
      5              9     0    1       0      0        1         1      4     0      1      0      0       1  /9 

=================================================

Poll will close early tomorrow afternoon.

5

I went with none. Thus, all the favored teams are quite possibly doomed to lose. What? This is how my luck runs y’all.

6

Final array with no-votes removed:



=================================================

                         UCLA  Georgia  NorthTex  Wisc  Mizzou  None 
                         ===========================================

armedmonkey          1                            Wisc
Munch                1                            Wisc   
Nauplius             3         Georgia            Wisc  Mizzou   
swampbear            1                                          None
Zeldar               3   UCLA           NorthTex  Wisc

======================   ==============================================
      5              9     1      1         1      4      1       1  /9 

=================================================
7

Since I clearly suck at picking the BCS bowls, I’m going to have to hang my hat on these lower bowl games. Missouri has burned me all season but heres hoping OK State can pull the upset.

8

Surely would give you a boost in spirits!

Here’s the array after all the other games:



=================================================

                         Georgia  Wisc  Mizzou  
                         ===================== 

armedmonkey        1/1            Wisc
Munch              1/1            Wisc   
Nauplius             3   Georgia  Wisc  Mizzou   
swampbear          0/1                        
Zeldar             1/3            Wisc

======================   =======================
      5              9      1       4      1  /9 

=================================================

You’re going to win, no matter what. It’s just a matter of by how much.

9

I hate you Missouri :mad:
And who was the genius that scheduled both the Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl at the same time.

10

Even with late bowls still to be played, the scoring for our poll is now complete:



=================================================

                         Georgia  Wisc   
                         =============
 
Nauplius           2/3   Georgia  Wisc 
 
armedmonkey        1/1            Wisc
Munch              1/1            Wisc  
      
Zeldar             1/3            Wisc  

swampbear          0/1                 

======================   =================
      5            5/9      1       4  5/9 

=================================================





=================================================
RESULT 

Arizona 42,              Boston College 19         AdvoCare V100 BOWL 
No. 17 UCLA 42,          Virginia Tech 12          HYUNDAI SUN BOWL
Mississippi State 44,    Rice 7                    AutoZone LIBERTY BOWL
No. 21 Texas A&M 52,     No. 24 Duke 48            Chick-fil-A BOWL
Nebraska 24, No. 22      Georgia 19                TAXSLAYER.com GATOR BOWL  
North Texas 36,          UNLV 14                   HEART OF DALLAS BOWL 
                                                    - PRES. BY PLAINSCAPITAL BANK 
No. 9 South Carolina 34, No. 19 Wisconsin 24       CAPITAL ONE BOWL 
No. 16 LSU 21,           Iowa 14                   OUTBACK BOWL 
No. 8 Missouri 41,       No. 13 Oklahoma State 31  AT&T COTTON BOWL

=================================================