Middle CFB Bowls -- Which "favored" team(s) will LOSE?

Please refer to this thread (especially this post and this post) for the reasoning behind this poll.

Also refer to these links for background:

Links

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/ncaaf--2013-14-college-football-bowl-schedule-015528935.html
College Football Ratings Page
http://www.cbssports.com/general/writer/jerry-palm/24043695/bowl-eligible-teams

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013–14_NCAA_football_bowl_games

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<<< “Favored” teams are underscored =======



===================================== Middle Games (8)

Pinstripe Bowl
Bronx, N.Y. -          12 p.m. ET, Dec. 28
Notre Dame vs. Rutgers
==========

Belk Bowl
Charlotte, N.C. -    3:20 p.m. ET, Dec. 28
North Carolina vs. Cincinnati
==============

Russell Athletic Bowl
Orlando, Fla. -      6:45 p.m. ET, Dec. 28
Miami vs. Louisville
          ==========

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Tempe, Ariz. -      10:15 p.m. ET, Dec. 28
Kansas State vs. Michigan
============

Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, Texas - 11:45 a.m. ET, Dec. 30
Navy vs. Middle Tennessee State
====

Music City Bowl 
Nashville, Tenn. -   3:15 p.m. ET, Dec. 30
Mississippi vs. Georgia Tech
                ============

Alamo Bowl 
San Antonio, Texas - 6:45 p.m. ET, Dec. 30
Texas vs. Oregon
          ======

Holiday Bowl
San Diego, Calif. - 10:15 p.m. ET, Dec. 30
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech
=============


It may assist your decision-making to see the Sagarin rankings on the teams. These are simply the ranking position numbers (1 is FSU for instance) and the smaller number is the higher ranking.



===================================== Middle Games (8)

Pinstripe Bowl
Notre Dame vs. Rutgers               25 vs 103
                                     == 
Belk Bowl
North Carolina vs. Cincinnati        48 vs 60 
                                     ==
Russell Athletic Bowl
Miami vs. Louisville                 40 vs 24
                                           ==
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Kansas State vs. Michigan            28 vs 38
                                     ==
Armed Forces Bowl
Navy vs. Middle Tennessee State      61 vs 99
                                     ==  
Music City Bowl 
Mississippi vs. Georgia Tech         34 vs 33
                                           ==
Alamo Bowl 
Texas vs. Oregon                     35 vs 4  
                                           =
Holiday Bowl
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech          8 vs 50 
                                      =
===================================== 


You can see that the highest ranked of the group is Oregon at 4 and the lowest is Rutgers at 103.

Check out the Music City Bowl’s numbers!

First array:



=================================================

                              NotrDame  NorthCar  Louvlle  KanState  Navy  GaTech  Oregon  ArizState  None 
                              ============================================================================

armedmonkey            2                NorthCar                           GaTech
Frosted Glass          1      NotrDame
Munch                  3                NorthCar           KanState        GaTech
Zeldar                 5                NorthCar  Louvlle  KanState  Navy  GaTech

========================      ============================================================================
     4                11         1         3         1         2      1      3       0         0       0  /11

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Voted “for” NC just because I’m a Cincinnati alum.

You have company. Almost unanimous. Others may have other reasons, but I’m pulling for Tubby.

I have no strong opinions, but I voted for Notre Dame and Oregon to lose.

The weather at the Pinstripe Bowl is likely to be miserable, which increases the chances of a sloppy, low-scoring game that could easily come down to a fluky turnover here or there. That gives Rutgers a decent shot at winning outright, not just beating the spread.

As for Oregon, I repeat my longstanding theorem: in bowl games, always bet against the team that thinks it should be playing somewhere better. Of all the teams on this slate, Oregon is the one that thought, just a few weeks ago, that they had a strong chance of playing in the BCS title game. Now, they’re stuck in the lousy Alamo Bowl. They don’t want to be there, and will NOT be psyched up to play, whereas the Alamo Bowl is very likely to be Mack Brown’s last game with the Longhorns. I say it will be an emotional game for the Horns, who’ll be playing what amounts to a home game, and will want to send off their coach on a high note.

So, I say Texas beats the much stronger Ducks.

Just to be clear, astorian, you have yet to vote in this poll.

Updating. Thanks, astorian.



=================================================

                              NotrDame  NorthCar  Louvlle  KanState  Navy  GaTech  Oregon  ArizState  None 
                              ============================================================================

armedmonkey            2                NorthCar                           GaTech
astorian               2      NotrDame                                             Oregon
Frosted Glass          1      NotrDame
Labrador Deceiver      2                NorthCar                           GaTech
LawMonkey              1                NorthCar
Munch                  3                NorthCar           KanState        GaTech
Nauplius               2                NorthCar                           GaTech
sunstone               3      NotrDame            Louvlle            Navy
Zeldar                 5                NorthCar  Louvlle  KanState  Navy  GaTech

========================      ============================================================================
     9                21         3         6         2         2      2      5       1         0       0  /21

=================================================



Final Array with no-votes removed:



=================================================

                              NotrDame  NorthCar  Louvlle  KanState  Navy  GaTech  Oregon 
                              =========================================================== 

armedmonkey            2                NorthCar                           GaTech
astorian               2      NotrDame                                             Oregon
Frosted Glass          1      NotrDame
Labrador Deceiver      2                NorthCar                           GaTech
LawMonkey              1                NorthCar
Munch                  3                NorthCar           KanState        GaTech
Nauplius               2                NorthCar                           GaTech
sunstone               3      NotrDame            Louvlle            Navy
Zeldar                 5                NorthCar  Louvlle  KanState  Navy  GaTech

========================      ===============================================================
     9                21         3         6         2         2      2      5       1    /21

=================================================


At halftime Ole Miss is ahead by 6 and if they can hold on some of us will be happier than we are at this moment:



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RESULT 
 
Notre Dame 29,        Rutgers 16          NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL 
North Carolina 39,    Cincinnati 17       BELK BOWL
No. 18 Louisville 36, Miami (FL) 9        RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL
Kansas State 31,      Michigan 14         BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWL
Navy 24,              Middle Tennessee 6  BELL HELICOPTER ARMED FORCES BOWL

=================================================




=================================================

                              GaTech  Oregon 
                              ==============

armedmonkey            2      GaTech
astorian               2              Oregon
Frosted Glass        0/1      
Labrador Deceiver      2      GaTech
LawMonkey            0/1      
Munch                  3      GaTech
Nauplius               2      GaTech
sunstone             0/3      
Zeldar                 5      GaTech

========================      ===================
     9                21         5       1    /21

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Curiously, the turf accountants were handicapping GATech by 2.5~3 pts (favoring Ole Miss to win) at close. Did the line cross over or something?

In this poll you pick LOSERS. All is well.

Even though the Holiday Bowl has some play left, nobody voted for Arizona State to lose, so it’s not relevant to the outcome of our poll.

Here are the finals:



=================================================
RESULT 
 
Notre Dame 29,        Rutgers 16          NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL 
North Carolina 39,    Cincinnati 17       BELK BOWL
No. 18 Louisville 36, Miami (FL) 9        RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL
Kansas State 31,      Michigan 14         BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWL
Navy 24,              Middle Tennessee 6  BELL HELICOPTER ARMED FORCES BOWL
Ole Miss 25,          Georgia Tech 17     FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL
No. 10 Oregon 30,     Texas 7             VALERO ALAMO BOWL

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=================================================

                              GaTech   
                              ====== 

armedmonkey          1/2      GaTech     
Labrador Deceiver    1/2      GaTech
Nauplius             1/2      GaTech 
    
Munch                1/3      GaTech 
    
Zeldar               1/5      GaTech   

Frosted Glass        0/1 
LawMonkey            0/1 

astorian             0/2   
         
sunstone             0/3 

========================      ==========
     9               5/21        5   /21

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