Right now, I’d say it’s the most likely scenario.
I posted in this thread that I believed Nikki Haley would be the Republican nominee in 2024 and got some pushback. Some people think the Republicans would never choose a woman, but I believe electability trumps any presumed, party-wide misogyny. Were British conservatives a more enlightened lot when they successfully backed Margaret Thatcher in three elections? I’m not claiming that Haley is in Maggie’s league (yet) but she projects competence and confidence. She’s formidable, imho, if she’s conservative enough. Can’t survive the RINO label these days.
As for Don jr., he lacks pretty much everything. His father had the (phony) smart and wildly successful real estate magnate image he’s cultivated since the 70s. He also had widespread recognition via The Apprentice and his ghost-written books. Don jr. is a silver-spoon brat who will forever reside in daddy’s shadow. On the other hand, I didn’t think George W. Bush had any shot at the presidency in the late 90s, so…