This is kind hard decision between IMHO and GD. If the mods find it getting too GD-ey please move it if you want, since it is kind of a Poll for debateable opinions.
With the California fires, Big Arnie has been getting positive press lately again, and his govenorship seems to be going pretty well, pretty quiet mostly, and it’s pretty obvious he has neverending ambition. Although I don’t live in Cali so I can’t really know for sure, so please correct me if I’m wrong. Personally I think he would win President pretty easily if he were the Republican Nominee this time. However barring the .00001% chance of a constitutional amendment being rocketed through, that won’t happen. So this is concerned with 2012, or beyond.
He is generally known as a Fiscal-conservative, social-liberal Repub, which is something that appeals to many people as an ideology. I think he would win as the Repub candidate. He would take most Red states, because he is not the Dem, and could Grab California, making it an easy win. The Religious-right might break off and throw to a third candidate, but in the states where it is a big enough group to matter, he would siphon enough from the just left-of-center to make up for it.
But that requires backing up to the point of him becoming the Repub. Nom. Could he ever win it? The Religious right will not like him, and within the party they would likely be a big enough block to stop it from happening.
Plus there is the whole constitutional issue. It gets brought up from time to time, usually about a specific candidate like Arnie.
So the Poll.
1.Do you think Arnie would win the general election if the Rep. Nom. this time? (Yes It will not happen, just a theoretical)
- Would you vote to change the constitution to allow foreign born presidents if it comes up in the next 4 years?
3a. If no; would you support the amendment in theory, but not vote for it this time, if it is mostly to help Schwarzenegger in the short term.
3b. If yes; would it be mostly to help Sch. get a chance, but might not be in support for some other candidates if they were the primary benficiary? - Do you think he could ever win the Republican Nominee?
- What are his chances of ever becoming president.
- Knowing what you know of him currently, and accepting that there are a million unknown variables between 2012 or 2016, what is your likely hood of voting for him:
A. Hell yeah, already decided if he is there, he is my man,
B. Very Likely vote for
C.Serious consideration
D.Possible, depending on the other options
E. Unlikely, but you never know
F. Only in miraclulous circumstances
G Hell No.