Oh yeah they will. SAG and the other Hollywood Guilds takes picket lines VERY seriously, and just like the Globes, just about everyone , if not everyone, who’ll be nominated is a member of one of the 12 Guilds. No one who’s a member of any Guild would want to see anyone cross their pickets lines if they were on strike, so they’ll not cross the WGA picket lines. Count on it. Your cynical view of Hollywood actors notwithstanding, they’re going to back the writers, no matter how much it hurts to not be a part of the Big Night.
Unless the strike ends first (unlikely) then the Academy Awards WILL be affected. Deeply. The actors won’t show up. The directors won’t show up. The cinematographers won’t show up. None of the other artistic people (costumes, makeup, sound, editing, art directors) will show up. The host won’t show up. The unionized backstage people (probably) won’t show up. Who’d be there besides publicists and possibly D-list “celebrities” who are too stupid to know better? A red carpet with only Kathy Griffen and Sally Kirkland? Oooh.
drm, I don’t know what they’ll do. The Oscar nominations will come out, and the Oscars will be awarded, but with no one to present them and no one to accept them, what’s the point in having a televised event? AMPAS might just have to announce the winners in a press release. The next few weeks will be very interesting. The Golden Globes are to be presented on the 13th of this month, so in a little over a week, we’ll know how THAT went. Lots of people are freaking out.
I’ll admit to a bit of gown-watching, but honestly, the main reason I like awards and awards shows is that beyond all the fun celebrity hoopla, it really is all about movies, and 2007 was a damn fine year for movies, so a lot of great films are nominated for the Globes and will be nominated for Oscars. It’s a shame those people won’t have their day in the sun, but it’s not the writer’s fault. I too would like to see the Coen Brothers get up on stage to accept the Picture, Director and other awards…if the Oscars were happening, I’d be especially looking forward to the Editing category, in hopes that it would be awarded to “Roderick Jaynes” just so I could see Ethan and Joel get up on stage. Has anyone who’s used a pseudonym won an Oscar since Dalton Trumbo? I don’t know.
However, these guys are so publicity-shy and laid back that I’ll bet they’re hoping and praying the strike won’t end so they don’t have to get up multiple times in front of millions of people. Some people will be like the Coens and sigh in relief (like Daniel Day-Lewis, an almost certain Best Actor winner and a very shy guy), while others will be banging their heads against the wall in frustration, like the first-time nominees Diablo Cody, who wrote Juno, Amy Ryan from Gone Baby Gone, Casey Affleck from The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, Marion Cotilliard from La Vie En Rose, and others.
I also can’t help think about poor sound mixer Kevin O’Connell, who’s been nominated 19 times in the Sound category and has never won. He has two chances to be nominated this year, for Spider-Man 3 and for Transformers. If he were nominated, and if he did finally win on the 20th try, it’d be a damn shame he couldn’t get the standing ovation he would get and deserves just for hanging in there. I never thought I’d say this because I really like the guy, but I hope Kevin loses again.
neutron star, whatever. I happen to like movies, and the one thing the awards do above anything else is bring attention to movies. Some don’t need the attention, but many do. Lots of people won’t have heard of several of the nominated films until Golden Globe/Oscar night. Many of those films are worth knowing about.