So, anyone still feel like disagreeing with me on the point I raised in Day 1 that self-preservation is a null tell and no townie should ever willingly let themselves get lynched?
“Are we near the end? Can this be over” inquired several members of the Alliance of Light.
Mhaye said, “Indeed, I can feel that it is. So few have survived. So few of us have made it this far.”
“What more can there be? What comes next?” replied another.
MHaye sighed. “We can’t know. Still, round the corner there may wait A new road or a secret gate; And though I oft have passed them by, A day will come at last when I
Shall take the hidden paths that run West of the Moon, East of the Sun.”
Several members nodded in agreement, lowering their heads, “So shall we all, Mhaye. So shall we all.”
Mhaye looked deeply troubled.
A great dread fell on him, as if he was awaiting the pronouncement of some doom that he had long foreseen and vainly hoped might after all never be spoken. An overwhelming longing to rest and remain at peace by Bilbo’s side in Rivendell filled all his heart.
And then, in the morning, he was gone…perhaps to the West at last.
Mhaye is now dead. He was Frodo, a member of the Alliance of Light. Frodo was the Ring-bearer, given the task to take the Ring to Mount Doom and destroy it. He could also twice wear the ring to become invisible.
It is now Day Nine. Day Nine ends in 48 hours, on Friday, October 1 at Noon Eastern.
We may Meeko. Posting from my phone here after working all night, but:
Alive:
Meeko
Doctor Who
Hoopy
Inner Stickler
USCDiver
If there’s one scum, that means we can mislynch today, somebody gets night-killed, and then we have one more crack at it.
If there’s two scum, we’re at LyLo right bloody now. Thus, we might want to take the 48 hrs to talk about it.
That said, I would be voting Stickler right now if I knew how to post in colors and boldness from my phone. It will have to wait until tonight after I get some sleep.
Could we maybe get Day to end on Saturday? For those of us with limited time to participate?
And I really don’t think we should all be jumping on stickler right away. We’ve got time to decide this, and right now I’m not particularly sold on the case against him. I didn’t get much chance to participate in the last Day, which means I haven’t really looked stringently at anyone and why my vote was yesterDay was piggybacked on another’s case. But there is something I want to bring up that I noticed with Diver’s voting patterns when I looked at them yesterday evening. However, I don’t have time to elaborate right now, though I should be able to get to it tonight.
[QUOTE=Hoopy Frood;12969368But there is something I want to bring up that I noticed with Diver’s voting patterns when I looked at them yesterday evening. However, I don’t have time to elaborate right now, though I should be able to get to it tonight.[/QUOTE]
The only one not voting was cucuy (Gollum, 3rd party).
What’s interesting is the two that jumped on the Special Ed bandwagon at the last minute were town, so what we really need to look at is the vote before it:
Now , Innerstickler is voting for Astralrejection, immediately following when I voted for him. Now, I can’t recall if it was officially established by Town in the events when scum knew that Astral was one of them, but if scum found out the Night before and couldn’t speak during the Day, this means very little in favor of Inner. However, if either of these cases is wrong, Inner voting for Astral at this point, where he could have one-offed or voted Ed is a strong town-tell, or an impressive bus job.
However, let’s look at the known distribution now:
Voting for Ed are one scum (Natlaw), two town, and one unknown (Doctor Who).
Voting for Astral 2 town, Me (town), one scum (drainbead), and one unknown (stickler)
Now, drainbead did put Astral in the lead. Astral was a goon, so he was a safe bus. But Natlaw wanted people off of Astral, so it seems a bit disconnected that drain would bus and Natlaw would try to prevent it. Further evidence that scum possibly didn’t know (in which case stickler gets no town cred for his actions). Followed up by Astral, instantly voting Natlaw the next Day (Day 4) before Nanook’s reveal, and it’s very likley Astral was talking to scum by that Night (Night 3), so clearly the scum were all about jumping on each other for cred.
So while stickler’s actions lean slightly pro-town on the whole, there’s a lot of mitigation from the weird actions of scum surrounding that vote.
Now Diver takes a safe one-off onto a townie which doesn’t take commitment into the top-two contest. In fact, that vote occurred long before in post 2003, which was slightly over half the Day gone by. And then he doesn’t weigh in on the whole Ed/Astral thing ever until after Natlaw’s claim near Day end. And in spite of the claim, chooses the safe route and leaves his vote right where it is. Granted, there was no real reason to switch since as a Townie if he believed Natlaw he wouldn’t vote Astral and voting Ed wouldn’t change anything (Ed was swinging), and lot’s of townies have one-offs, but it’s odd that he didn’t comment at all or vote on the situation while it was taking place.
Now I don’t have time to continue my examination of Diver, and probably won’t get another chance until tomorrow night, but it’s a little something for those townies who are so eager to lynch stickler to think about. If there are two scum remaining, stickler is likely town, because I can’t see everyone but me and stickler being the only two who haven’t committed to voting stickler if stickler is scum and there are two scum remaining. It seems a bit too much of a gamble for scum since voting each other in a game as small as this one has become doesn’t really buy cred at this point.
But I think the chances of two scum remaining are small anyway. What I do know is at least one of Diver, Doctor, and Stickler are town. But the fact that you townies are content to just roll into the final Days without holding each other’s feet to the flame is not a good thing. And inner, if you really are town, you more than anyone else right now have a reason to scrutinize other people.