All right, I’m trying to play catchup so I’ve shoved all of my commentary on the thread so far today into one post.
[QUOTE=Idle Thoughts]
Well, as I said in this post, I knew my chances were good that at least one of the top four people I was most suspicious off was scum. All of them? I very much doubt it. Even I don’t think I’m that close to being good. Three of them? Maybe…I again, odds are no. Maybe two of them are, but if that is the case, fluiddruid was one so I no longer am as suspicious of CaerieD or Millit the Frail (or tirial either, for that matter) as I was before.
[/QUOTE]
I can’t believe I’m arguing with logic that has me “less likely to be scum”, but I suggest you rethink this, Idle Thoughts. It is entirely possible that you were correct in more than one case. I know I’m town and I’m fairly certain tirial is town at this point (not too sure about Millit), but I wouldn’t bet the whole game on it. Kyrie only had one breadcrumb, and yet managed to be right in at least three instances–dnooman and Projammer were both town and fluiddruid was scum. At least two of those were lucky guesses, possibly all three if it turns out Blaster Master was the breadcrumb. If Kyrie could guess that well, it’s possible others could as well. Plus, as our trust of certain people grows, the likelihood of one of them ending up the recruit becomes higher.
[QUOTE=Hal Briston]
Huh…interesting…here are the top posting players at the moment:
tirial 108
Idle Thoughts 107
DiggitCamara 105
SnakesCatLady 98
Now, when I was running this theory through my head, I was thinking “low-posting players – like tirial”. How the hell I’m getting almost no read on him after 108 posts is beyond me.
[/QUOTE]
You have almost no read on tirial? That in itself seems awfully fishy. She’s been posting like a madwoman and has thrown out tons of analysis and observations. There’s a ton of content to decide one way or the other. She’s either scum trying to manipulate us or townie with a lot to say. At this point, she’s said so much I find it hard to believe anyone would lack an opinion one way or the other.
[QUOTE=Lightnin’]
This is pretty much the same conclusion I’ve come to, as well. It’s why I voted on fluiddruid yesterday, even though I’m normally loathe to jump on a bandwagon. Going over the past votes, CaerieD stuck out like a sore thumb, and her voting pattern implicated fluiddruid. We need to get the scum out, even if it means going for the easy votes, so I went with the flow. Today, however, it’s time to vote CaerieD.
[/QUOTE]
Let me get this straight. You’re voting for me because somebody else thinks I’m scum…because my votes inadvertently saved your neck? Did you respond to the wrong post or something? Because this is just confusing me. If you were a townie and I was scum, what would I have to gain by saving you? If I was scum, having to choose between which townie to send down the river, I’d go with the townie least likely to make waves or else stay out of it entirely. If we were both scum, it might make sense and that’s where the suspicion came from: the assumption that you and I were scum and I was trying to save my teammate.
Onto my defense of fluiddruid…oy. There is nothing I can say that could possibly make up for that idiocy. A lot of my assumptions on how I thought the Mafia would play things out were dead wrong and I’ve had to completely revise everything I’d thought before. The only thing I have to use in my defense is that while what I did was pretty boneheaded for a townie, it’d be ridiculously suicidal for scum. fluiddruid even drew attention to my defense of her, likely hoping to ensure that no one would forget I’d defended her when she finally got outed as scum.