Yes, yes, I know. He’s an economist. Is it a science?
We’ve had this debate before, although it’s been a long time, so you may want to start it up again in GD, but… economics IS a science, like it or not. It is a relatively new science, being as it is sort of a branch of psychology, and I know people will now say “but psychology isn’t a science, either.” Well, it is; psychology, and economics, are the study of behavior. It’s a hard science to get firm answers to, but hey, all sciences start out that way.
ArtUkraine, quoting The Genocide of German Ethnic Minorities in Russia And The Soviet Union
(including Ukraine), 1915-1949–And Beyound
Der Genozid An Russlanddeutschen 1915-1949
By Samuel D. Sinner
North Dakota State University Libraries
BTW, there were also no droughts during the great famine of 1933 under Stalin, either. Harvests that year were pretty much normal. The famine happened because the food was deliberately shipped out of the Ukraine, leaving the population to starve.
I just meant that, like, your one of the guys, you know. You fit right in, scrathc yourself in public, overthrow all the right borgeoise institutions. Suff like 'dat. Yeah.
[sub]Think she bought it? Nah. Probably not. Sorry. I must have been thinking of some other Mandelstam. Greggory Mandelstam, or Howie. You mean you aren’t Howie Mandelstam? My bad.[/sub]
By the way, there is a website devoted to making long range bets about societally or scientifically meaningful predictions. The loser gives a minimum of $200 to charity. (Registering a bet costs $50.)
(Today’ featured prediction is, “As of March 7th, 2005, Osama bin Laden is dead.” ) The minimum time horizon is 2 years. There is no maximum period for a bet.
The negotiations involved in specifying these bets can get quite protracted.
I would submit that Rickjay’s specification needs more work. To me 5 examples from 3 universities would not demonstrate that, “a great number of people in the United States… will be apologists for [Saddam Hussein].”
However, if Mandelstam doesn’t want to spend the time on this, and Rickjay is interested in reworking his prediction further, I trust that there will be some takers at that website.
Not to worry Spiritus. Thing is I do scratch myself in public. But since I’m getting close to 8 months’ pregnant right now, it just doesn’t convince anyone any more…
flow: You’re more the long-range gambling sort than I am. Some of us campus leftists have enough of a hard time figuring out what to do with our retirement accounts.
[sub]That said, is anyone really giving any kind of odds on the Osama by 2005 bet?[/sub]
Sam You actually found a good cite. I just this morning read Dr. Raleigh’s opinion, and he indeed has done scholarship in the last 10 years which indicates that the drought factor was less important than the social policy. I stand corrected. At least about the 1921 famine.
I’m sure such people exist, Jack, but I can honestly say that I’ve never come across any. Of the people I know who still value a socialist ideal, none of them wants to see that ideal come about via violent revolution. Similarly, the sort of person who admires Lenin despite his lapse into brutality admires him for the good ends that he sought (and especially the things that he wrote) but without justifying the brutality.
There is a difference, though, between apologizing for revolutionary and post-revolutionary brutality, and grasping the full historical picture of those events. It would be wrong to forgive brutality in a communist regime, no matter how visionary the leaders or good the original intentions. But it’s also wrong to shut one’s eyes to similar brutality from other quarters. The lives of most Russians under the czars were pretty darn bad. And in countries such as England during the industrial revolution about 1/3 of the population lived at a subsistence level, often working 15-hour days just to survive. There was child labor, there was a repressive penal system. It was no picnic. England avoided revolution b/c it gradually became democratized, and the worst excesses of capitalism were reformed; eventually many socialist ideas were introduced in a non-violent democratic fashion.
I am speechless at my own insensitivity and beg your forgiveness. I can only hope you will feel able to accept this small country estate and 5,000 acres of lush Shire as the merest token of my genuine appreciation of you and your ability to sniff out anal matters in a thrice !