That’s the way I interpret it anyway. It’s in the intro to this MSNBC piece from today. He was apparently speaking to the press:
I think there’s probably a greater likelihood the House flips than the Senate. Senate races are just different, they’re statewide, uh, candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome…
So there’s also a nice dig in there about some of his possible future colleagues, GOP Senate candidates. But I thought the main point is the implication of his comment about Senate races being statewide. You can’t gerrymander a Senate race, it’s just everyone who votes for that office in the whole state, straight up and down, no districts or electors or any of that presidential stuff.
Here’s the whole almost 8-minute clip that is mostly commentary. The headline on the story was actually about how Latino voters are starting to move away from the Republicans.
Its actually worse than that. All else being equal, the Senate should be much easier than the house for the Republicans to control, since its not population based and California vs Wyoming get equal numbers of members rather than a 53 to 1 ratio.
I’m not sure that’s what he was saying. I think the part about candidate quality was what he was getting at: Statewide candidates get a lot more attention, which means bad statewide candidates are more likely to be noticed. It’s why there’s a higher percentage of lunatics in the House than the Senate (and even higher in state legislatures).
It would be easier for them to get the Senate if the entire Senate was up this year. I’m pretty sure the median Senate seat across all three cycles is indeed to the right of the median seat on the new House map (which is actually better for Democrats than the 2020 map).
Those two are like the raw asparagus and salsa on the crudités platter…the only items left after all the carrots, peppers, and ranch dip are all gone. And everyone scratching their heads thinking “why they fuck are they there to begin with? Did the host drink too much tequila before they prepped the platter?”
