Those are some shitty night results.
None of them necessarily change my stance from yesterday:
vote SilverJan
Further vote analysis will occur when I get back home and spend several hours updating my timing spreadsheet.
So now we know where the Dancecat and Blaster messages came from. This is good.
I think the two main things we need to focus on this game day are:
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Analyzing that Inner wagon that sprang up out of nowhere and caught like wildfire. It’s pretty evident that scum were trying to save Blaster, and I think the lynch should come from there today barring someone outing themselves.
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Working out the messages with the new info. We can know figure out where the dancecat/blaster ones came from.
i haven’t looked but the people i would be most suspicious of are ones that jumped on blaster once he started getting a few votes and then also jumped to inner when he started getting votes
not even sure someone fits that description
Vote Scathach
I don’t like the following posts, 2268 and 2449. In 2268, he explicitly says that he doesn’t find Blaster Master scummy, but of the leading lynch targets he’s the only one who didn’t get a message, and he doesn’t want to lynch one of those. Then in 2449, he says he likes the Blaster lynch better than lynching the masons/receivers, but votes Inner because he prefers the case against Inner.
This reads to me like someone who is trying to avoid lynching a teammate. In the first post, he realizes that he’s boxed himself into it, and spends that post and the next post trying to wriggle his way out, doing so without saying much in the way of anything one way or the other. If I had to guess which of the late voters were Scum, it would be him.
I don’t understand what you’re saying then.
What I’m saying is that I think that either Brewha or Scathach is scum.
Scathach I have little to no read on and haven’t since the game began. I haven’t noticed him doing anything either suspicious or anything to make me lean towards Town either.
Brewha, on the other hand, has been minorly pinging me (and others) all through the game (since Day one). So combine that with the fact he was late on the train for Inner, I think it points to HIM as being scum the most likely.
I’m not going to vote for Scathach if I didn’t have any read on him one way or the other until toDay…I’m going to vote for the one I’ve had minor suspicious for for awhile now: Brewha. That’s what mafia is about. : p
You said it better than I could. As I recall, Blaster Master was pushing the hardest for my lynch Yesterday. My notes say he was first to vote for me. (1109, expanded in 1424) So while I may still seem suspicious for my D1 play, please note that a large amount of the D2 suspicion on me was seeded by a Scummy Wolf.
Interestingly, the second player to vote for me had almost identical reasoning to BlaM. And that player was, dum dah dum, Drain Bead. (1190)
In other matters, I’m curious who got alignment messages about people they didn’t target.
AOP @ Episkey: As I recall, NAF was the first to set out a major case on Inner. We definitely need to look at everybody who voted late for Inner. Including, gulp, me.
Would someone please post a color-coded D1 and D2 final vote count?
What do you think that says about me, if anything?
Well if brewha’s been poisoned why vote him? He’ll probably die anyway (as I expect that Mahaloth would have if he hadn’t already been dead-of-Guiri-fu); we can lynch someone else today.
I tentatively agree about scathach; but I welcome the long day regardless.
That was … unfortunate. The color looks like a backup vig, but why target him after yesterday’s events? Blech.
I just want to throw this out there:
That was a poetically appropriate role for Peeker.
On a more serious note, I think there’s a solid chance of scum being found in the late Blaster wagon. Being the person to push Blaster over the edge is a serious chunk of town cred, and I can see that being tempting for scum. I’m at work, so I’ll have to review those people later.
Wow what carnage. Three deaths and a poisoning.
I think Brewha is still alive. I’m still not exactly sure how poison works because I’ve never played with it before. Last night, Mahaloth I believe was both poisoned and shot. The shooting was why he died, and poison I suppose would have killed him eventually?
I actually think we should probably not waste a lynch on Brewha since he’s poisoned anyway. If he gets healed (Gad, I’m assuming you’d tell us if someone’s poison goes away?) then he’s back on the table.
In case it hasn’t already been explained, I guess we now know why Dance Cat’s alignment was revealed after n1.
NETA: Same reasons as Drain Bead for scathach, plus something Guiri saw on day one.
{thinking out loud}
It seems to me unlikely that two Scum would start bussing someone. I think it’s more likely that given Blaster was Scum, you’re Town.
Anybody care to comment on my thought?
I’m also hoping someone comments on my plan regarding my Night targets.
And I’m wondering if anybody was told this Dawn that they have multiple targets for a single action Tonight.
Well, okay, but won’t the poison take care of him for you? We have no evidence that the poison is nonfatal.
On the other hand, perhaps the pause between poisoning and death would indicate we have a doctor who can cure it?
As I said to pwn, because I feel he’s the more likely to be scum (over Scathach). Why would I vote for someone I was less suspicious of? I could go either way on him…whereas Brewha I have have a more scum lean on.
and if he gets healed he is more likely to be scum
it’s a waste of a lynch
This is mafia. I’m voting for the person who has the most of my suspicions thus far. This is how mafia is played.
To me, the poisoning makes no difference. Yes, he’ll die eventually anyway, but if he’s scum, better toDay than tomorrow, wouldn’t you agree?
I’m also hoping that people who didn’t know their role took my advice last Night and we have new Masons. Not that I want you to talk about it, mind you. It’ll just be helpful once Scum inevitably start targeting the Masons.
It’s also best that nobody report if they felt safe, given that we know that we can’t duplicate targets two Nights in a row.
Action or Actions?
Yes, but since I feel he’s the best likely candidate for scum being on Inner Stickler’s wagon, why would I think he should hang around an extra Day doing who knows what dastardly deeds during the Night?
mafia have more info, therefore more likely to know who their healer is (assuming they have one, didn’t in other game i believe), so if he is healed then he can be lynched tomorrow or vigged at night or something
i assume no villager will attempt to heal him unless he comes up with something good today