Just over three hours to kickoff in East Rutherford. Any Giants fans as nervous as I am? Ugh.
Fuck Dan Le Betard. On PTI Friday he said: “How’s that Eli Manning trade looking? The Chargers ended up with three players in the pro bowl and Eli has yet to win a playoff game.” Okay, first, ouch on that three probowlers thing, that’s a good line. But did I miss a postseason somewhere along the line? The Chargers have the EXACT SAME 0-1 playoff record as the Giants since The Trade That Killed New York.
Another point is that I’m reminded very much of the Phil Simms situation. He went through similar struggles in the spotlight. Not that I think Eli is going to go 22-25 while winning a Superbowl, but hey, I’m hanging on by a thread here.
While I’m grasping at straws, let’s consider what might have been had the Giants just kept Philip Rivers. For the purposes of this exercise, we’ll ignore the fact that after a week or so went by, the Chargers would probably have traded Eli for Rivers straight up. (AJ had as big a hardon for Rivers as EA had for Manning.)
Ernie brought in a MLB, RT, WR, K and DT in free agency the year after making that trade without needing to worry about money tied up in a high first rounder. A reasonable person would agree that since a kicker was obviously a need, they’d’ve taken Nate Kaeding with the same pick (in 2004) the Chargers used on him.
That leaves the 2005 draft. Merriman doesn’t fit the 4-3 system, and the Giants needed a MLB way more than an OLB anyway. The top MLB in 2005 was Barret Ruud, who went in the second round. So that’s not a realistic 12th overall pick. So figure they still bring in Pierce in free agency. The BPA (next player chosen) at #12 was T Jammal Brown.
This all boils down to the basic premise that if the Giants just stuck with Rivers, they’d be the same team they are now if they made the following trade:
Eli Manning
Kareem McKenzie
Jay Feely
for
Philip Rivers
Jammal Brown
Nate Kaeding
The reasoning being that Jammal Brown would have been a metric shitload cheaper than the LT money Ernie threw at McKenzie, so he probably would have still had the cap space to bring in all the other free agents he did (minus Feely.) If you think he’d still have been short, then figure he failed to bring in Kendrick Clancy, who isn’t on the team anymore anyway.
So there you go. How much worse are the Giants off for the Eli deal? You decide. Is Rivers a system quarterback, or is he asked to do as much as Eli is asked to do? God knows I don’t watch any Chargers games, so I couldn’t tell you. All I know is that Eli is asked to do a lot, and he’s great at it as long as his mechanics don’t break down. Unfortunately, his mechanics break down EITHER half of all passing plays OR a third of all passing plays, depending on if he’s having a good day or bad. sigh
I put the over/under on combined interceptions (both Saints & Giants) today at 4, and I’ll take the over.
Giants 23, Saints 17.
Keep hope alive!