NFL 2007 weekly predictions / beat the spread

This is a general NFL thread for ongoing discussion throughout the season. Also, if you’d like to try your hand at beating the spread, this is the place to see how well you would do. Smacktalk is of course welcome.

I’ll explain how betting works in more detail if anyone is interested. My mock betting will be the same as always: never risk more than 200, and never bet less than 25 (30 with the vig) on any single wager.

.8:30pm…**COLTS…6…Saints…52…**Colts and the under.

.1:00pm…**Steelers…4½…BROWNS…36½…**Steelers and the over by a mile.
.1:00pm…**REDSKINS…3…Dolphins…34½…**Dolphins and the over.
.1:00pm…**Eagles…3…PACKERS…42½…**Eagles and the over.
.1:00pm…**Broncos…3…BILLS…37…**Home dog Bills. Go JP! Way under.
.1:00pm…**TEXANS…3…Chiefs…37½…**A whole bunch of suck. Chiefs and under I guess.
.1:00pm…**JAGUARS…7…Titans…38…**Panthers and the over.
.1:00pm…**Patriots…6…JETS…41…**J-E-T-S and the over a banged-up Pats D.
.1:00pm…**RAMS…1…Panthers…43…**No clue. Rams are home. Over?
.1:00pm…**VIKINGS…3…Falcons…35½…**Not-Falcons (Vikings) and the under all season.

.4:15pm…**CHARGERS…6…Bears…42½…**AFC still dominates. Chargers and the under.
.4:15pm…**SEAHAWKS…5½…Bucs…41…**Not linking the Hawks yet. Bucs and the over.
.4:15pm…**RAIDERS…2½…Lions…39½…**Lions win outright. Way, way, way under.

.8:15pm…**COWBOYS…6…Giants…44…**Big Blue and the over.
.7:00pm…**BENGALS…2½…Ravens…40…**Ravens and the over.
10:00pm…**49ERS…3…Cardinals…45…**Look for a shootout. 49ers and the over.

Early Games
Risk 30 to win 60 on the Steelers/Browns over & Broncos/Bills Under

Late Games
Risk 55 to win 50 on the Chargers

Sunday Night
Risk 30 to win 25 on the Giants

Monday Night
No action.

Thank God I found this thread finally.

If only the Giants had any defence I would have scored the allup bet:

Steelers/Browns over, Broncos/Bills Under, the line the Chargers and the bumbling Giants who were up 12 1/2 early.

Still 3 out of 4 is a comfortable profit.

What do I do this week?

I meant to say nice picking.

I wasn’t sure if Hal’s thread was going to go all season. Looks like it’s not, so I’ll stick with this thread. Let’s see how I did in week one…heh, I notice I never picked the Jags-Titans game. I put in a pick for the Panthers-Rams game instead. I find it funny that I picked the Panthers there but then the Rams in the other spot. Shows I much I liked picking that game, eh?

Thursday Opener
41 **COLTS…6…**10 **Saints…**51 **52…**Colts and the under.
Early Games
34 **Steelers…4½…**7 **BROWNS…**41 **36½…**Steelers and the over by a mile.
16 **REDSKINS…3…**13 **Dolphins.**29 **34½…**Dolphins and the over.
13 **Eagles…3…**16 **PACKERS…**29 **42½…**Eagles and the over.
15 **Broncos…3…**14 **BILLS…**29 **37…**Home dog Bills. Go JP! Way under.
20 **TEXANS…3…**3 **Chiefs…**23 **37½…**A whole bunch of suck. Chiefs and under I guess.
10 **JAGUARS…7…**13 **Titans…23 38…(No selection made…oops!)
38 **Patriots…6…**14 **JETS…**52 **41…**J-E-T-S and the over a banged-up Pats D.
13 **RAMS…1…**27 **Panthers.**40 **43…**No clue. Rams are home. Over?
24 **VIKINGS…3…**3 **Falcons…**27 **35½…**Not-Falcons (Vikings) and the under all season.
Late Games
14 **CHARGERS…6…**3 **Bears…**17 **42½…**AFC still dominates. Chargers and the under.
20 **SEAHAWKS…5½…**6 **Bucs…**26 **41…**Not linking the Hawks yet. Bucs and the over.
21 **RAIDERS…2½.**36 **Lions…**57 **39½…**Lions win outright. Way, way, way under.
Night Games
45 **COWBOYS…6…**35 **Giants…**80 **44…**Big Blue and the over.
27 **BENGALS…2½.**20 **Ravens…**47 **40…**Ravens and the over.
20 **49ERS…3…17 Cardinals37 **45…**Look for a shootout. 49ers and the over.

The Thursday night opener got me off on the right foot; I’m glad I snuck it into Hal’s thread. That 2-0 bumped my record for the early action up to 10-7-1. Then began the steady decline, going 3-3 in the late games and 2-3-1 in the night games, for a combined 15-13-2 for the week. Over 50% in the picks often translates into a good week, and this one was no exception.

Early Games
Risk 30 to win 60 on the Steelers/Browns over & Broncos/Bills Under

I expected more points out of the Browns, since they usually play the Steelers tougher than that. Oh well, both picks still covered, so I’m up 60 heading into the late games.

Late Games
Risk 55 to win 50 on the Chargers

Picking the AFC over the NFC is almost always a good bet regardless of the spread. Chargers bring me up to +110.

Sunday Night
Risk 30 to win 25 on the Giants

Giants had a real shot in this game. Down by 3 with around 3:00 to play and three timeouts they held the Cowboys to a 3rd & 7 at midfield. One more play and the offense – which had no trouble scoring all day – would get the ball back and be in great position for a game-winning drive. Well, not great field position, but great time position. Sadly, they let up a TD on that 3rd & 7, so Eli never came back in. Oh well, +80 for the week is still a good week.

Monday Night
No action.

Standings
This week: 15-13-2, +80
Season: 15-13-2, +80 (+80 per week)
Spread Picker: N/A; Best Bets: N/A

Against the Spread
1-0 Bengals
1-0 Bills
1-0 Chargers
1-0 Colts
1-0 Cowboys
1-0 Lions
1-0 Packers
1-0 Panthers
1-0 Patriots
1-0 Seahawks
1-0 Steelers
1-0 Texans
1-0 Titans
1-0 Vikings

0-0-1 Cardinals
0-0-1 Dophins
0-0-1 49ers
0-0-1 Redskins

0-1 Bears
0-1 Broncos
0-1 Browns
0-1 Bucs
0-1 Chiefs
0-1 Eagles
0-1 Falcons
0-1 Giants
0-1 Jaguars
0-1 Jets
0-1 Raiders
0-1 Rams
0-1 Ravens
0-1 Saints

I’ll make my picks for Sunday either later this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Several QB injuries are messing with the spreads, so the later the better.