Probably? It was a compound fracture and dislocation. That’s not that far off from Smith and Theisman.
Myles Garrett should be in the running for DPOY. He has forced 8 turnovers in 5 games. He’s at least like 60% of anything good the Cleveland defense does. His performance is really impressive and well rounded.
The rest of the defense is fairly bad, although they’ve been pretty banged up from the very start. But the NFL isn’t playing defense this year anyway. At least it’s not playing “stop the offense from executing their plan” style defense, it’s “match the high flying offense shootout” style defense where they make big plays by making sacks or forcing turnovers.
Colts defense was very good against the Browns run game, and the Browns run game picked up the slack, especially with great circus catches by the receivers. The run game isn’t going to be as good as it was with Chubb, but the Browns do have a pretty remarkable running line this year. Both guards are on PFF’s top 10 ranks.
Well that was as close a miss on a FG as possible. Anticlimactic after that great catch.
If you watched the Vikings/Seahawks game Sunday night, you saw yet another down-to-the-wire finish in a Seattle game, where Russell Wilson once again engineered a great late drive for the winning TD. Wilson threw a six-yard touchdown pass on 4th down with 15 seconds to play in the game.
But just before that last drive, Minnesota had a 4th-and-1 at the Seattle 6 at the 2-minute warning, holding a 26-21 lead. Seattle had just one timeout left, so a first down would seal the victory for the Vikes. A chip-shot field goal would essentially ensure a tie, but the ball placement following a kickoff would give Seattle a much better chance for a late TD drive.
Well, Minnesota went for it and failed to convert. And Wilson guided the Seahawks down the field on an 11 play drive for the winning score.
Did the Vikings do the right thing by going for it on 4th and 1? I believe they did, although it backfired in this case. What say you?
(As an aside, late in the 3rd quarter the Vikes scored a TD to pull within two, 21-19. They went for the 2PT and failed. Had they kicked the XP, they would have held a 6 point lead late in the game and the FG would have all but clinched a win.)
Yeah, it was absolutely nuts of the Vikings to not take the field goal in that situation. They paid the price.
Win expectation for the Vikings at that point was 98% if they went for it, and 97.8% if they kicked the field goal. So strictly by the numbers, it was basically a wash. They’d also been running well all game, which pushes it a little more toward going for it. But at that distance, a QB sneak seems like a much better choice.
Then those win expectation calculations are suspect. They should have kicked a FG.
Nah. A QB sneak at that distance has a conversion rate of around 87%, and means an automatic win. A field goal does not put the game out of reach, and also importantly, probably means the Seahawks are starting from their 25 or better, versus starting from their 6 on a miss.
This is the same problem that I have with Sabermetrics and the like. Sure, percentages and historical trends are good to know but they don’t always reflect the real time game situations. Seattle is fantastic and driving the length of the field in 2 minutes. You can almost guarantee they would have, whether they were starting at the 6 or the 25. The Vikings being the Vikings, they should have kicked the FG and made Seattle get both a TD and a 2PT conversion. Worst case they would have gone into OT.
NBC put up the win probability numbers regarding the 4th down play. If memory serves, before the play was run, the Vikes had a 94% win probability. Had they converted the 4th down, it went to 100%. Had they kicked the FG, it was still at 94%. Not converting the 4th down knocked it down to 79%, IF I remember correctly.
Where does one find the win expectation or win probability numbers? I looked on https://www.pro-football-reference.com/, but couldn’t find it there.
I think it’s also important to remember that for most of the game the Vikings were running all over the Seahawks defense, even after Dalvin Cook went out with injury. Seattle made a big play.
Would the real Josh Allen please stand up?
The Jets have released Le’Veon Bell.
Which team gets to deal with the headache?
Kinda fun having a Tuesday night game. Wasn’t a great game, but I enjoyed it.
I think I’m starting to root for the Titans. They dont seem to do anything spectacularly (although that Derrick Henry is a beast), but they play good, solid football. They’ve won their games by 2, 3, and 1 point before tonight’s blowout. If they didnt have so many Covidiots, I might actually root for them.
I agree it was nice to see the Bills and Titans, two teams that don’t get much national coverage and in Chicago are rarely in the local coverage.
The Titans aren’t flashy, but they are solid enough to get to the AFC Championship last year, and are looking good this year too.