NFL Week 5

Sorry for the late thread, I usually start them but I’ve forgotten since I haven’t been in here much lately.

Thursday:

Green Bay 42, Min 10

Sunday early:
CHI @ CAR -2.5
CLE @ TEN -1
STL @ PHI -7
ATL @ NYG -4
TB @ NO -10
HOU @ DAL -6.5
BUF @ DET -6.5
BAL @ IND -3.5
PIT -6 @ JAX

Sunday late:
ARI @ DEN -7.5
KC @ SF -5
NYJ @ SD -6

SNF
CIN -1 @ NE

MNF
SEA -7.5 @ WAS
I feel like Cleveland is a good bet this week, they’re better than Tennesee in the first place and they’re coming off a bye. Cin is in the same situation with NE, but I’m not as confident in that one even though I probably should be. Better teams coming off a bye getting points seems like it’s probably a historically good bet.

After the debacle in Dallas last week, my Saints need to blow out Tampa in the Dome.

I really like the Packers chances to get a win this week. In fact, I’m predicting a 32 point blowout.

I am worried about the Bengals against the Patsies tomorrow night. Yes, the Patriots look like lost dogs wandering around in the middle lane of the freeway, but it’s still at their place where they haven’t lost to an AFC opponent in 31 games (!!!), Brady is still a good QB, yadda yadda.

On paper the Bengals should destroy them, especially with their DL against the Pats’ weak OL. But the Bengals traditionally blow ass chunks in primetime games and after coming off a bye under Marvin Lewis, so I just don’t know what to think.

For some reason I’m thinking a shootout happens. But damn…who in the fuck is any good at catching the rock for New England?

There is this Polish-sounding fella’ I’ve read about, Grunk, no, Grank, no no. Anyway, it’s something -ski. Have you heard of him? I’ve liked Edelman’s performance so far in FF.

But no, not exactly the Greatest Show on Turf this year. I still see Cincy winning and covering. Not hard, given I see they’re only favored by 1.

I suspect the Texans may be a little underrated this season, that line on the Cowboys looks long, to me.

Well yeah, obviously, but he hasn’t been himself this season yet, and if you what KC did and double him and Edelman and ignore everyone else while applying a mean pass rush that seems to be a winning formula so far.

BRUTAL BIG BLUE BACK-TO-BACK BIRD-BRO BEATDOWNS BEGIN!*

Cardinals this week, Eagles the next. Two Giants win en-route to reestablishing NFC East dominance.

I fearlessly predict at least one of the three following things will happen this afternoon:
[ul]
[li]The Giants’ D will force 6+ turnovers.[/li][li]The NFL team sack record falls as the Giants bring down Ryan 13 times.[/li][li]Odell Beckham Jr. will the rookie debut receiving record.[/li][/ul]

*An official Bloom Picayune-approved headline.

Kind of amazed that New York is favored by 4.5 over Atlanta. Wasn’t it just two weeks ago that everyone was convinced the Giants were a disaster? They played pretty well in Week 3 and very well in Week 4, but the competition probably had a lot to do with that, and anyway Atlanta has looked fine overall, AFAICT.

If I were setting a “true” line, I’d go no higher than Giants -2.5.

Real piece of dumbassery by Chicago’s gunner there - taking the receiver out before the ball arrived. Then everyone in blue basically stopped playing whilst the ball spilled loose - until a Carolina player picked it up and ran it back for a TD.

Jay Cutler throws into triple coverage trying to force the ball to Brandon Marshall. Oddly enough, it gets intercepted. Heh.

Near sack of Flacco turns into 1st down.

Rumors of Jake Locker’s demise appear to be exaggerated.

In other news, Dallas is trying really hard to give away this game.

Yeah, it’s first quarter already over, but I think the spread’s too big against the Bucs and would take them with the points against the Saints. Now let’s see me lose that…

…and immediately NO scores a touchdown. :slight_smile:

Christ, do I have the power to hex and curse. As soon as I notice how well Locker does, he’s out.

Not that the Browns look like they can stop anyone today…

No, people who didn’t pay any attention to how they were actually playing declared them a disaster. Anyone actually watching them knew they were a little bit of work away from being ridiculously effective.

The spread also moved from -1.5 to -4.5. It seems to me that big populations with a favored team will often move the spread with their biased betting. Q.v. San Francisco, Dallas, Chicago, although this week the Niner spread moved opposite to this idea.

Luck just threw an unLucky red zone pick.

What’s the record for offsetting penalties? Browns/Titans have had 5 or 6. And a brawl and an ejection.