I know that the question has been asked several times before, but I feel like present developments merit a new thread.
There is a lot going on here in Taiwan that seems to make China very uneasy, and I know that’s not anything new, but what is new is how close Taiwanese government officials are getting to talking about more than just de facto independence.
Frank Hsieh, the DPP’s presidential candidate’s reasoning for saying a referendum on whether or not Taiwan should petition for a seat at the UN as Taiwan and not the Republic of China is that, as he says, Taiwan is already an independent country (which it is by pretty much every test you put it up to) and they don’t need a referendum to prove it.
Moreover, Hsieh favors writing a new constitution .
Add to that, Taiwan is about to have it’s fourth democratic elections, which pleases the PRC even less than it does the KMT (who once enjoyed one-party rule over the island).
"Unnamed sources " in the US government say that this spring could be more tense than back in 1996 when China, just being peeved that the people were electing their leaders, shot some missiles into the Straits. In 1996, there was no Anti-Secession Law , nor had there been eight years of DPP leadership, giving the Taiwanese people the kooky idea that, “Hey, we’re not Chinese” and that the “One China” policy is a farce.
So, I want to know what other people think. I’m fairly new to the whole Taiwan-China debate, compared to a lot of y’all out there. I want to know if things are different now, if tensions really are escalating. Do you think that we are about to see an armed conflict between the two countries? Or am I just paranoid?