Yeah, different places are going to have different lists. I’m using the wiki page for raw numbers. It still shows 6 outstanding - and 2 senate seats - and gives a list of which ones.
Thanks! Looks like Wiki and Vox are on the same page, but Vox hadn’t updated with the ME-2 outcome yet.
Coming down to the wire.
I admit, I’m leaning hard on wiki, here. But whoever’s updating that page seems to be staying on top of things and aggregating pretty well.
I am very happy to have lost to those who predicted more D House seats!
Rooting for Wesley Clark! Woot!
I think right now anywhere between 233-236 is possible. It’s going to be interesting.
Ditto! Go Wesley!
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Nate Silver says CA-21 isn’t over yet; he’s saying it’s a tossup, even.
Cripes, it’s 10 days after the election, and elections that had been thought to be settled are coming back into play. Makes life interesting, that’s for sure.
Another one called.
House D: 232
Senate D: 47
Vote D: 53.8%
Leaders:
3.0
Steve MB
Monocacy
5.00
Melcalc
Richard Parker
6.00
USCDiver
Dseid
Wesley Clark
Still 5 house races to call! And 2 Senate races! Stay tuned! It’s a nailbiter!
NY-22: Brindisi leads Tenney by more than the remaining uncounted absentee ballots
Up to 234 Dem House seats (max of 236 if CA-21 and GA-7 both go Dem). Still at 47 Senate seats, with just the MS runoff outstanding.
And it might not matter!
I’ve put the 234 number into the spreadsheet. Here’s our leaderboard:
3.00
Monocacy
4.00
Wesley Clark
5.0
Steve MB
7.0
Richard Parker
Melcalc
8.0
USCDiver
Dseid
DinoR
Monocacy is looking pretty good. But if the remaining seats go D Wesley Clark has a pretty good chance of passing him. At this point, Monocacy is ON target for D seats in the house. Everyone they add works against him.
As of this morning, the Votemaster is claiming 234 is nearly final.
That’s because AP and others still have CA-21 called as Republican. But at this point it looks close to a coin flip - the Republican still has a very slim lead,( a few hundred after leading by several thousand on election night )but the Democrat has made a huge comeback and the outstanding vote leans slightly Dem. It might yet end up at 235.
If anyone’s interested in a small wager, I’ll take the Cox/235 side of the bet if someone wants to bet on Valadao winning to keep the total at 234.
I’ve heard that a total of 160 Soros buses of extra-legal voters were deployed, but the original plan was for fewer. So, there is that little bump.
I may end up calling this after tonight’s Senate race. That may be enough to crown our winner.
Might give it one more day, just to be sure of the CA-21 outcome. The last batch of ballots big enough to make a difference should be counted by COB Wednesday (PST, of course).
After that, this U.S. Congressional election should finally be OVER. (And there was much rejoicing.)
Fun fact:
If the current vote totals hold up the D/R vote split will almost perfectly match the D/R House split.
D Vote %: 54.12%
D House %: 54.02% (235/435)
Unless the “lame duck” House refuses to accept the result and calls for another recount. There is precedent for this, although why it would bother, I don’t know; one House seat shouldn’t matter, given the overall result.
Besides, California can probably stall until January 3, and then the new House can vote to declare the Democrat the winner.
So long as the numbers clearly reflect that. “Caesar’s wife” level of purity won’t cut it, because we got moves to make about gerrymandering and the principle of one navel, one vote.
Maybe a bit more, maybe even a degree of generosity, a gesture of bi-partisan accord when you got the vote to spare. Being gentle in the treatment of a defeated enemy is a very Christian and worthy thing, plus it rubs in a bit of salt at the same time.