I’m shocked by the noms, more for who was omitted than who was included. Younger academy voters obviously got their hands in a bit more this year, but where the hell is Scarlett Johannsen? Two Golden Globe noms, two SAG noms, two of the most acclaimed roles of the year and she’s shut out entirely?
Where is Peter Dinklage, who did such an amazing piece of work in The Station Agent? Maria Bello for The Cooler? Jennifer Connelley, without whom Ben Kingsley would’ve sucked in HoSaF? Hope Davis for her understated luminence in American Splendor?
Where are the acting noms for Seabiscuit, William H. Macy if no one else – how can it (and Master and Commander get a Best Pic nom without any nominable acting?
And where, where, where is Big Fish*, Tim Burton and Ewan McGregor?!
It’s like Academy Voters didn’t go to see movies this year, they’ve dropped these noms based upon names that have gotten the most time on Entertainment Tonight or something. I’m gravely disappointed.
My predictions:
Best Picture: TRotK, – wrongly so, IMO, this award should not go to this movie, but it will because they’ve been waiting to see how the whole trilogy played out before awarding it
Best Actor: Bill Murray – for the “turn around”
Best Actress: Charlize Theron – the absence of Scarlett in this category, her only real competition, makes her a complete shoo-in.
Best Direction: Peter Jackson – because Sofia Coppola is going to have to be screwed over in order to pacify the LotK people
Supporting Actor: Tim Robbins – with prayers that he won’t be political in his speech
Supporting Actress: Renee Zellweger – for three reasons a.) to make up for last year, aka the Russell Crowe awarding; b.) she was the only believable part of the otherwise lackluster and pathetic Cold Mountain, therefore she stood out; c.) as a combination sop and middle finger to the Weinsteins who thought that they had multiple noms and wins bought and paid for across all of the awards shows.
Best Foreign Language: The Barbarian Invasions - Canada
Adapted Screenplay: American Splendor
Original screenplay: Lost In Translation
Animated: Finding Nemo (though Triplets of Belleville was amazing and may sneak through)
Original Song: “Into the West” from TRotK
Original Score: Howard Shore for TRotK
Documentary Feature: The Fog of War
Documenary Short: Chernobyl Heart
Animated Short Film: Nibbles
Live Action Short Film: Two Soldiers
I agree that technical awards will go to TRotK fairly across the board, though Girl With a Pearl Earring will get Art Direction if there is even the slightest bit of justice involved in this process (which is questionable).