Did you see any of the videos of him working the crowd after the speech? He was out there for another hour or so, and didn’t look tired to me. I think he just doesn’t look his best on stage, but up close, he still seems to be killing it.
It’s that first bit that gives me just a bit of concern. (Not a lot.)
It’s not 1960. Voters have infinitely more ways to see the candidates than in head-to-head debates. DeSantis may be charisma-free but he’s utterly conquered Florida; if voters’ exposure to the candidates is from TV recaps of random campaign stops with soundbite quotes, they could simply go with the younger, fitter-looking candidate.
I’m ruling out Trump as the GOP nominee. I just don’t see it happening, and if it does, he loses to Biden or anyone else the Dems nominate.
That’s how the early polling has been going. In a two-horse race DeSantis has been frequently leading Trump. But when additional candidates are introduced into the mix, Trump’s share remains virtually unchanged and he ends up winning by plurality.
The Trump campaign will happily take winning all those primaries with 35-40% of the vote; they want lots of declared opponents.
That’s pretty much what happened in 2016. God forbid history repeats itself.
NBC said tonight the President chose his campaign manager tonight, an experienced campaign manager. It’s Cesar Chavez’ grand daughter too-an interesting choice. It sounds like she’s really dedicated and knows people. Maybe it’ll make it easy to get some undecided voters too.
And now this:
And he makes it official this morning:
CBS’s take on it:
Is it true the Democratic party says there will be no debates?
I can guess why.
What is your guess?
Parties with incumbent presidents running for reelection never engage in primary debates. The RNC didn’t schedule any debates in 2020. As far as the general election goes, only the Republicans have threatened to not participate in the Presidential debates. The RNC announced recently that it has officially withdrawn from the Commission on Presidential Debates.
…
“Biden’s embrace of the Dark Brandon meme shows not only an awareness of the meme and what it represents to many of his followers, but self-awareness of how the meme livens and rejuvenates his public persona,” Romano told NPR.Romano added: “Especially as he gears up for a difficult re-election, look for him to lean even more into the ‘Dark Brandon’ meme on social media as a way of galvanizing supporters online.”
Awareness is good. Fight lasers with lasers.
He’s running. I don’t think he’s a shoo-in for the ticket the way other incumbents have been in the past. A lot can happen in the next year and a half.
Let’s keep his name on the nightly news. No more… Representative X misspoke her morning tweet and the whole world looked and pointed.
Say what is happening in government and what it is going to mean for you, your state and the state of the Union.
Biden sent FEMA funds to Florida to repair the flood damage. Do some follow up CNN. Show some trucks rolling.
It is a good time, IMHO, for a Secretary shuffle. Give everyone a step up. Follow up on the success.
Unless a health issue arises, he’s a shoo-in. If I’m wrong, my question to you is — who is going to be his Ted Kennedy (winner of New York and California primaries, over Carter, in 1980)?
It’s a bit of a bad sign that Harry Belafonte, who wrote great New York Times op-ed’s against Trump the last two times, won’t get to do it a third time, having died the day Biden announced.
I have near-zero belief in the value of optimism and am really worried about Trump’s polling numbers, against Biden, being so steady.
Hard agree. Who’s going to challenge him in the primary, and on what basis? “He’s too old” isn’t enough of a rallying to take down an incumbent President. There’s no significant faction of the Democratic coalition that’s overly upset with him. I’d put greater odds on Harris not making the ticket than Biden.
Well, Sanders just endorsed Biden, so that takes the wind out of a few sails.
I agree, if Biden is healthy a year from now, he’s the candidate.
This election will come down to a contest of Republican bullshit about “If you elect a Democrat, the world will explode!”, and the Democrats pointing out that US voters did just that four years ago, and the world is still currently un-exploded, and is actually getting a bit better for some people. If the Democrats bring in a new candidate, it will be harder to make the “Stay the course” argument, which is their best shot at winning.
Is it true that in 2020 there were no Republican primary debates?
Can you guess why?
More dramatically, is it true that in 2020 many states cancelled their primaries or caucuses rather than having Trump face an opponent?