Romney, Santorum, Gingrich, Paul, tomorrow night's CNN debate, and Super Tuesday

That pretty much sums it up.

I thought Romney was ducking more debates. Did I misread that, or did he change his mind?

Change his mind? What time is it?

8 PM. For what it’s worth, I’ll be watching it during my lunch hour. Should be entertaining. The question, though, is: Will tomorrow night’s debate have any impact on Super Tuesday? CNN seems to think so:

Michigan is tightening so this debate should be huge. Romney dropped out of the other debate which was cancelled but I think this one was always on. I think it’s the last debate before Super Tuesday.

Romney appears to be comfortable in Arizona so if he could pull Michigan out of the bag that would give him huge momentum for Super Tuesday. If Santorum wins, he gets the momentum. Georgia appears to be tightening also and if Newt loses there, he may get knocked out on Super Tuesday. Georgia appears to be a three-way tie so either Santorum or Romney could win with some momentum. If Santorum can win Michigan, Ohio and Georgia knocking out Newt in the process I think he will be a clear front-runner after Super Tuesday.

Romney’s lead dropping in Arizona.

I wonder if the tightening of the race will have an affect on AZ Republican turnout? This race was assumed to be Romney’s with the large Mormon population. Many non Mormon Republicans might like a chance to stop Romney as they don’t tend like the heavy Mormon influence in state politics.

And tomorrow night’s debate will be in Phoenix, Arizona.

Drinking game for every time Romney says “conservative”? :smiley:

He has no choice but to participate. With Santorum sitting on top now, Romney has to go at him hammer and tong instead of potshotting at Obama. Santorum must be discredited before he gains any more traction, or the convention will be a debacle. It probably will be, anyway.

I’ll take the safer route, and just take a drink every time someone playing your game passes out. I figure I’ll still get sufficiently smashed.

OK, let’s make it where he has to use a modifier in front: “strict conservative” or “super-duper conservative” or something along those lines.

Better we should force Romney to play a drinking game . . .

Mormons don’t drink. Why do you want to wage war on religion?

Because you should never trust a man until you’ve seen him drunk. (And because religion is bad, m’kay?)

Interestingly, Santorum should be fasting today. Not that Catholic style fasting will leave him too weak to put up a fight, but he may be a little on the cranky side as a result.

Will he wear a big mark of schmutz on his forehead at the debate?

I’m not gonna’ lie and say that I’m not a little curious.

Gingrich is also Catholic. It would be interesting if exactly one of them had ashes on his forehead.

Frothy ash?

That would be Mesa, Arizona. /nitpick

I think the ash thing might be a Prisoner’s Dilemma. If either of them has ash on their head, it’ll serve as a reminder to Protestants that Catholics and Protestants are different, so the overall optimum is probably for neither of them to wear ashes. On the other hand, though, if one wears ashes and the other doesn’t, the one who does will be able to make the other look not very devout, which will be a big negative among the electorate no matter what sect they’re not devout at.

Then again, though, the only competitor they have is even further removed from the Protestant mainstream, so maybe they’re not worried about wearing their Catholicism on their [del]sleeve[/del]forehead. And Santorum’s Catholicism is much more prominent than Gingrich’s, so the situation isn’t symmetric.

I think the most likely is probably Santorum with ash, Gingrich without, though any combination could end up having some interesting implications.