Spinoff from this thread, “should” being a very different question from “will” and debatable in its own right.
I say, with nothing beyond economic sanctions. Let’s not stir up an actual war if it can be avoided. What interests have Western powers in the Crimea anyway?
Well, if there is going to be another Crimean War, I volunteer Terr for the Light Brigade! Come on, Terr, to horse! For Queen and Country! Don’t show the white feather, it’s only a lousy machine-gun nest you’re charging on horseback! Oh, would I were a younger man and could go with you, lad!
Failing that, I can get you a slot in the Lite Brigade. Your mission is to approach the Russians under flag of truce and politely ask them to pull back.
Not that it isn’t a dangerous mission: The Russian for “Pardon me, but would you please leave off, if you don’t mind terribly?” is within one consonantal palatalization of “Suck my cock, faggot!” In Russian history, this fact has occasioned many needless deaths and several pleasant surprises.
As John Mace joked above “could” is a completely different question too, but all three “_oulds” were being discussed quite comfortably in the other thread. IMHO, of course.
:dubious: What it was, was too good not to use, and you know it, Mod. There’s no actual insult of Terr implied. And this thread is distinguishable from the other, and also necessary (partly because of developments in the other).
Seems to me that Putin and Russia are playing the role of schoolyard bully with these antics in the expectation that the West’s reply won’t have any teeth.
Any economic sanctions need to be VERY severe; as in have the potential to wreck the Russians economically. None of this pussyfooting around like we’ve done with Iran for years; the Russians and Putin should know better than to act like this if they want to be in the big leagues with Western Europe, and if they persist, they should get slapped down pretty hard.
I fear that what we’ll (the West) will do is some relatively ineffective sanctions, and discontinue them far too early, and all that Russia/Putin will learn is that we have no teeth, and that these sorts of shenanigans will not be met with decisive action or anything that he should give a shit about.
Russian rouble hits new low against the dollar and euro
Russia is EU’s third largest trade partner. The EU is Russia’s biggest trade partner. Most of Russia’s trade with the EU is energy. Spring is coming. EU’s exports to Russia are much more diversified. Is Russia as flush with cash as it’s acting? How long can they last before Russian patriotism and nationalism are hit in the face with a little economic deprivation? Putin’s got a grip on the media and protesters, but for how long?
There was a suggestion by a Ukrainian official that Ukraine block Russian TV into Ukraine, since it’s all made up propaganda and fear mongering. That would probably just stoke more nationalist paranoia. What the west should do, is make sure there are a large variety of western TV channels available everywhere in Ukraine, free (assuming that isn’t already the case). Eastern and southern Ukrainians need to be reminded there is a much bigger world outside of Russia’s influence, and it’s not happy at the moment.
The response should be an ultimatum: there will be immediate withdrawal or we will return to dealing with Russia as we dealt with the USSR, the Kennan doctrine of containment, which is also economic. Tariffs on energy exports, travel restrictions, etc. We won Cold War I, and we can win Cold War II also.