This was only the water parade in Crimea. The event was held as scheduled inside Russia. The Chinese sent a ship to the water parade.
Well, this is odd. It may or may not be relevant to this thread. Valentina Bondarenko fell from her Moscow apartment window and could not be saved. She was “a leading research fellow at the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow” – it has been called not-foul-play, but who can say? Economics could have a troublesome impact on the war. Or maybe Moscow needs to have better windows.
Russia continues to make territorial gains near Avdiivka in southeastern Ukraine:
Ukraine War Map Shows Russia's 'Significant Tactical Advances' in Avdiivka - Newsweek.
From this and other reports, it sounds like Russian troops have changed tactics slightly. They’re apparently using drones to continuously monitor Ukrainian troop movements, and then attacking when troop rotations occur. They’re able to exploit the confusion and lack of cohesion during such movements to make gains.
Over the weekend a Ukrainian leader (Army, I think; can’t remember who, and can’t find the article to cite now) said Russia can sustain this level of offensive activity for six weeks, tops, and then the loss of manpower and materiel will force them to go on the defensive. I don’t know where he got that information or how reliable it is.
Apparently North Korean missile launchers have been spotted in Ukraine. Russia needs to get more equipment somewhere.
And I really don’t know where to go with this. Russian infantry on electric scooters? As if the golf carts and motorcycles weren’t unprotected enough!
What’s always left unsaid in reports of this kind are how long the other side can sustain the effects of that activity.
Those scooters would seem to be more trouble than they’re worth.
Maybe the first F-16s have arrived. ISW has said that they will arrive piecemeal and not have a great affect this year. I’ve also read that the initial plan is to use them for air defense, not offense.
How would they even charge them reliably?
Was wondering that too. But maybe at some sort of base camp? Then they could be used for quiet and pretty fast scouting missions.
Glad the F16’s have begun to arrive. Building a force of 130 will take awhile. I’ve read that building maintenance squadrons is crucial. The personnel should be receiving separate training with the pilots.
Odd the maintenance crews aren’t mentioned by the news. They need more of them then pilots.
Guardian live feed
It seems like it was a good day for Ukraine. Both the Morozovsk airbase (appears an ammo dump went up) and an oil depot were hit as well.
Confirmation of the F16s
some unexpected developments:
UKR “invading” parts of (official) russian territory
probably just at tactical level, but might create quite a headache for RU as they need to spread out thinner now to not get any more egg on their faces.
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1em71vu/the_ukrainian_army_continues_its_advance_in_the/
Glad to see Putin admitting that a cross-border military attack is a “major provocation”.
And not a bad strategy to force Russia to devote resources to defending its home territory.
The Beeb seems to be the only news site putting “alleged” in the headline.
There has been concern that Surface to Air missiles would limit the use of F-16’s. SAM’s have greatly restricted Ukraine’s ancient Soviet planes from flying missions. They have also restricted the use of some Russian Aircraft.
Significant improvement but the pucker factor is still at a 8 out of 10.
IOKWRDI
(It’s OK when Russia does it.)
When I see headlines like that by major mainstream news organizations it’s kinda frustrating. Like here’s Retuer’s take:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ukraine-pierces-russian-border-triggering-major-battles/ar-AA1ooncS?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=d6a5b10a0aa44fb1997e6d2a5c981f80&ei=33
“Ukraine pierces Russian border triggering major battles”. I guess “major” is subject to some interpretation, but in the context of this conflict we’re talking about roughly 400 soldiers. So a couple of companies…less than a battalion, in other words. It’s a bold raid to be sure, but let’s not blow this out of context. This action may compel the Russians to shift a certain number of strategic resources, but this is a raid, not an offensive. We can’t realistically expect to see Ukraine seizing and holding on to any territory here.