Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 2)

11 posts were merged into an existing topic: Russian Use of Nuclear Weapons and Response rgd Ukraine

I’m not sure that a campaign in the dead of winter is really the best bet. I guess you won’t have to worry about mud from the spring thaw, at least.

There could be a window of opportunity after the ground freezes, and before the spring mud season starts.

I moved the massive hijack to where it belongs. You all know better. Avoid such hijacks in the Breaking News thread in the Future.

11 posts were merged into an existing topic: Russian Use of Nuclear Weapons and Response rgd Ukraine

Not sure where else to put this. In October David Letterman traveled to Kyiv to interview Zelensky, and Netflix started streaming it on Monday. Anyone who’s been following the war might find it to be of interest. Here’s the trailer:

Russia has hammered Kharkiv. Lots of power infrastructure wiped out.

Also Ukraine says Russia is planning massive ground attack.

Russia is certainly relentless.

Ukraine urgently needs updated MiGs before the next big attack on Kiev. Several former Soviet countries have offered to provide them. I think the US has blocked every proposal.

The planes should be quietly transferred without public acknowledgment. Much like the mysterious oil storage attacks inside Russia.

Winter has, historically, been Russia’s most loyal and powerful ally. If even Winter is turning against them, that’s bad news for Russia.

A “new Russian offensive” towards Kyiv sounds absolutely ludicrous. 300,000 unwilling recruits, with old and poorly maintained equipment, in the winter, with the Russian logistics system that has been a total failure beyond their own borders so far, is a recipe for a gruesome meatgrinder.

Seems like a statement from Putin that basically says “I’m willing to trade 5 russian lives for every Ukraine life. How about you negotiate?” With a bonus to the west asking how long they’ll continue to supply billions of dollars to sustain Ukraine.

So far pretty much every one of Putin’s decisions has been catastrophically dumb. If this is his thinking, it’s probably just more of the same. A poor and corrupt kleptocracy has no chance in an offensive war against a large and motivated populace, no matter how many bodies they throw at it.

We’re sitting here wondering when Russia will run out of men, and they’re sitting there, wondering when NATO will run out of money.

Their big problem is, it’s a lot easier to make money than to make men.

I think the plan might be to feed Belorussians into the meat grinder for a while.

Winter is always and only an ally of the side that is better prepared for its conditions.

Heh, and what’s going to motivate the Belorussians to do it? What’s in it for them? I think that’s going to be a hard sell.

That’s a problem for Lukashenko. Obviously he would order them to do so because he’s Putin’s bitch. Whether or not his men follow the orders or decide that it’s time that Lukashenko face the same fate that Caesescu and other faced before him is different question. That’s likely to depend on how many Russian troops are there to keep the Belarussian forces in order.

It would be quite a sight to see Belarussian troops battling Russian troops over who has to attack the Ukrainians.

Putin: I can keep this up all day.

The west: So can we.