Sanders ahead in California

And biden is behind warren in this poll.

This is thread worthy? Are we gonna have a new thread for every polling update until next year?

Only if the polling update puts Sanders in the lead, I suspect.

Even if that “lead” is within the margin of error. :rolleyes:

As it is in this case.

(Which I figure was your point, but just to make it explicit.)

And all the numerous polls that show Sanders in 3rd or 4th get written off.

From the Mueller report, page 23:

(all emphasis mine)

IRA stands for Russia’s Internet Research Agency.

Just a little thing worth noting about the help Bernie received in 2016. He didn’t ask for it, but he received it all the same. It’s not beyond pondering he may receive such help again. Maybe is already.

Here we go again with the poll BS. I’ve voted in every 4 year and mid-term elections for 3 decades. Not ONCE have I been polled, unless high school poll counts. Here’s one CA resident who won’t vote for Bernie as president of a hot dog stand or anything above.

You’re not saying you think polls are bullshit because you’ve never been polled, are you? Because I’ve never been called for jury duty but I’m pretty sure juries are a real thing.

I wouldn’t equate juries with voters. Hell, some voters are high on crack when they vote. I’m saying polls are crap whether they ask me or not. Too much weight is put on them. I think part of the many reasons Clinton didn’t win or others don’t win. They hear, oh, the polls say she or he will win, so let’s not vote. Let’s get donuts instead.

Polls, schmolls. I’m voting based on who I think is best for the job.

ETA: And IMHO, 538 is THE WORST out of all of them.

Yeah, no offense but that’s not reality based. I’m not saying you should vote based on polls (does anybody?) but good polls usually give a pretty accurate description of how people are feeling on a issue as clear cut as voting preference. And the fact that you don’t know 538 isn’t a pollster is a cherry on top.

So, this tells me that Sanders and Warren will be splitting delegates and that Biden and Pete will also pick up some. It’s regrettable that Harris has left the race as there’s 7% up for grabs as well.

I’m going to assume ( and I know what happens when you assume) that no campaign has much of a ground game or advertising in expensive CA as of now and that only Harris was focusing on it.

Hillary crushed Sanders in CA in 2016 so I’m not going to say that either Warren or Sanders is going to run away with it. There’s a huge state outside of the Bay Area activists.

Polls conveniently don’t matter when they don’t have biden on top huh?

Biden leading polls don’t get their own thread. If they did this entire sub-forum would be spammed with “Biden ahead in…”

According to OP’s graphic, Sanders and Warren were neck-and-neck in June and are neck-and-neck now. What is significant is (a) Warren soaring in August-September, then having her bubble popped, and (b) Buttigieg gaining on Biden. Both of these are also nation-wide trends.

And, while I love California and I love Californians, their voters’ views are completely irrelevant! The priority is to get a solid victory in November 2020; the voter who matters is a grumpy homophobe in the Rust Belt.

Agreed. The joyous homophobes are ungettable.

The priority should be getting that University of Wisconsin student who didn’t get their first choice of Warren or Bernie and will have to cast a vote for Biden or Buttigieg.

So?

I don’t get how this is relevant. Cali will go to whoever the D’s nominate. Period.

Who California is leaning towards might change who’s nominated. I figured that was the “So?”.

My brother was once exit-polled, and deliberately gave all wrong answers.

And Pete Buttigieg is in first place in Iowa.