Scum mafia: On Cecil pond [Game Over]

[quote=“KellyCriterion, post:1233, topic:526202”]

Oredigger stated:
How do we know that we have at least 2 power roles in this game?/QUOTE]

Well, the way I figure it we have a mason claim and a Vig claim so if both are true we have at least two power roles. If Story’s claim is a lie then we still have a mason claim I think it’s unlikely that they started off with a masonry of two so there is probably at least one more mason out there. If by some weird chance both of them are lying then the other half of Ed’s masonry is still out there and in a game this size then it is unlikely there would only be just two masons. If we are completely wrong and Drain isn’t a mason and neither was Ed and Story is lying then I go back to the size of the game and I think I’m safe in assuming there are at least a Doc and Detective out there.

Any way you look at it I think it’s safe to say that there are at least two power roles in play. I guess I was aggressive in my estimate because there are probably more power roles and Spawn will act protown less often then I predicted but I don’t think it matters because we’re not going to leave a spawn alive to vote at Night.

unvote storyteller

I keep a strong separation between games and personal life. It has never been my intention to insult you personally. “It’s all a game” is a rather shallow CYA sort of statement. I’m sorry for upsetting you. I don’t intend to let anything that happens in game to affect my personal relationships with players. You, of course, are not required to do the same.

The unvote is because I’d rather not exasperate a friendship. I don’t believe storyteller is the type of person to use an out-of-game personal friendship to manipulate the game. If storyteller is using out-of-game friendships in this manner I would have to revisit my thoughts on keeping in-game stuff separate from who I consider friends.

Vote total:
Spawn 13
Storyteller0910 3
Mahaloth 3
sachertorte 2
Natlaw 2
Meeko 1
DiggitCamara 1

[del]1: special_ed[/del]
2: ComeToTheDarkSideWeHaveCookies – Spawn (1139)
3: Drain Bead – Mahaloth (1162), [del]Storyteller[/del] (1210-1220)
4: Oredigger77 – Spawn (1176), sachertorte (1194-1212,1214), [del]Storyteller[/del] (1212-1214)
5: storyteller0910 – sachertorte (1174), Spawn (1174)
6: Meeko – Spawn (1135), Natlaw (1170)
7: Mahaloth – Spawn (1140)
8: Freudian Slit – Spawn (1136)
9: USCDiver – Spawn (1161), Meeko (1161)
10: Alka Seltzer – Storyteller (1203), Spawn (1203)
[del]11: peekercpa[/del]
12: Natlaw
[del]13: Zeriel[/del]
14: DiggitCamara – Storyteller (1186)
15: amrussell – Mahaloth (1172), Spawn (1173)
16: KellyCriterion – Spawn (1145), Mahaloth (1233)
17: Red Skeezix – Spawn (1146), Natlaw (1222)
18: sachertorte – [del]Storyteller[/del] (1179-1242), Spawn (1179)
[del]19: fluiddruid[/del]
20: TexCat – Spawn (1155), Storyteller (1155)
21: Rysto – Diggit (1226), Spawn (1226)

FYI: I wont be back in until later tonight.

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Amrussel: You say preemptive backpedaling, I say doubt. Not enough to stop me from voting for her, though. I posted again about storyteller that may shed some more light on the other statements that you highlighted:

If a dual vote is possibly scummy, that means you can evaluate it. A Spawn vote doesn’t tell anything at all.
I didn’t actually vote two players yet although I planned to last Summer. My vote for Meeko was for his vote switch to Scuba_Ben (now you) after rapidly voting both lynch leaders and TexCat in between, while I was considering to place the other for Story or fluiddruid.

What indictment? I asked him a question (scummy!) and responded to his case against me (scummier!!) ?
But since I said I would come back to Meeko votes: next post with the indictment you foresaw.

His reasoning Summer One to vote Scuba_Ben wasn’t that bad.

Day Two however we get this:

He voted Storyteller until he revealed his drawback then unvotes him to leave the lynch in a tie and place a one off vote for someone who might get replaced but won’t be able respond about his predecessor motivation.

Does he go back to TexCat who smudged him? Or why not to back to fluiddruid who ‘pingged me earlier, and for solid reasons brought up earlier, I believe that I need to revisit my vote there’.

Later he even says:

So fluid has pinged him, there were other solid reasons for voting fluid as well and he wants to give Story the benefit of the doubt. But then he doesn’t vote fluid because he could be wrong?

So yes, I have a strong disapproval of the way he votes.

Does it mean he is scum? I can see a motivation if Storyteller is the vigilante and a scum Meeko didn’t feel comfortable being a deciding vote. On another hand as suggested a scum Meeko might have been coached better and he is truly panicky because he has no backup to talk to.
And it looks like he lost interest in his wall of words on at the end (just repeating, ‘yup scum would say that’) - I would except a scum to be more careful with a case than that.

If this was directed at me, I never said that you aren’t allowed to unvote. I do have the right to criticize your votes.

Storyteller claims we don’t get any information afterward, and he has already said he doesn’t want to kill because of that. So I would be really surprised if does kill sachertorte next Winter.
For the rest I agree I don’t think a scum Storyteller would play the game as has happened, so that all I’m going to say about it for Today.

No, you’re right. I went back and checked again, I must have gotten USCDiver’s case against Meeko and your questioning of Meeko intertwined. :smack:

unvote Natlaw

This whole, “I sure hope Story is town” thing just feels off to me. Maybe I’m totally wrong but it screams to me of, “I know Story isn’t scum, and I’m so going to be proven right when he isn’t.”

Well, we know special ed is a Mason, so there have to be others out there. Not to jump over you for asking a stupid question, but this does kind of feel like…wow, how did he not know that?

If you think that story is town, then by all means defend him. But this speaks to me of, “I told you so” before the fact. Why do you think story may come up town? Because you know who is and isn’t town?

I’ll cast a second vote.

Vote KellyCriterion

Aware that you could be coming off as scummy just because you’re a noob. That’s happened to me in the past, but hey…sometimes a noob is a scummy noob.

Finally getting back to addressing Red as Scuba’s sub. You had previously asked for people who had been suspicious of him to restate their cases. Unfortunately, most of the responses aren’t going to be something that a sub would answer, at least my questions, and they now sit in a null tell category. A Pondie Scuba may have had suspicions of other Pondie players that you may not agree with and won’t be able to defend or dismiss them in debate. If you inherited a role from a Scum Scuba, you’re not going to help us better understand how/why we were suspicious of him.

And there’s the whole mason possibility which I’m fine leaving a mystery for now.

I actually made no claim on what I think story’s alignment is. You’ve imagined it.

Yeah, that’s what I thought you meant. I’m a little torn on this - part of me doesn’t like the idea of votes that come with an excuse in place. On the other hand, I do think the best thing town can generally do is be absolutely honest about their cases - overstating your confidence can be just as damaging. And especially in the early game, we are often going to be somewhat unsure about our votes.

However, I think there’s a difference between acknowledging an element of doubt on one hand, and blaming a specific player for your vote turning out to be wrong in the future on the other. It’s really quite a big smear against that player, as well as a way of disavowing responsibility for your vote.

Your post early this Summer (i.e. following the revelation that fluid was a townie after all) concerns the case against story. It’s slightly odd - you start by stating that the case against story is purely circumstantial, then go out to lay out that case in detail for everyone to see. You don’t provide the balancing aspect of explaining why you think that circumstantial evidence might be wrong - you just reference a vague fear that it might be. Is there nothing to cast on the other end of the scale? The effect of the post is to lay out a long list of reasons why other people might want to vote story, but not actually follow-through yourself. Again, that would be fine if you were equally emphatic about the reasons for not voting, but these are given much less detail and emphasis in your post. It’s tendentious.

What reasons do you have for not voting story?

Taking a look at the Fluid wagon:

Rysto places the first vote, his basic case seems to be that Fluid was trying to provoke peeker and Story, and create a distraction. He then picks at some points in Fluid’s WoWs on Story (#850 and #851). Obviously, I’m largely in agreement with Fluid here. Rysto picks up on a bad snip that Fluid made which was somewhat misleading, but misses the point of the argument (that considering double player lyse without accounting for the spawn mechanism, or comparing it to a doctor protection is meaningless or misleading). He makes a reasonable point about how Story might be wanting to drop an unproductive argument.

I’m pretty null on Rysto’s case, I can see why he might think this way even if I don’t agree with his position.

OreDigger is concerned about a claimed power role being close to the vote lead as the deadline approaches. I don’t think this is a legitimate concern, town needs to be prepared to vote for players if they think they are scum. He backs up his vote by saying Fluid is overly focused on one player. This can be something of a scum-tell, it can allow scum players to coast through large portions of the game, especially if their target doesn’t get lynched. Fluid was very focused on Story, but it’s an accusation that could be leveled at other players (Kelly, Mahaloth), so I don’t think it supports his vote that well.

He adds a weak FOS on me to the case, which didn’t go anywhere when I challenged him on it.

Drain Bead places a hunch vote on Fluid. This is a pretty poor vote, but Drain is almost certainly town. It has the effect of making the Fluid wagon a lot more viable.

Very quickly, Cookies joins the wagon. This isn’t a good vote. Fluid posted a WoW on Story because there have been a lot of oddities in his play. Posting a WoW isn’t a scum tell.

At this point, Meeko thinks that Story is probably town, and that if he isn’t he will be vigged. He is making an assumption about Story’s kill drawback.

A bit later and Meeko is worrying about the kill drawback (and therefore less confident about the case on Fluid?) and unvotes to vote TexCat. I haven’t had the time to review Meeko’s play properly, but this is at least somewhat consistent with his later policy vote and unvote for Story, trying to get him to reveal what it is.

Diggit places a vote on Fluid, based on the assumption that neither Story nor Sach are scum (I don’t see why he would make that assumption), and that it would be a good scum strategy. The strategy argument is somewhat flawed, if Fluid was scum and a town Story flipped, she’d be pretty exposed. A Sach-town flip would have worked well for a scum-Fluid.

The Cookies and Oredigger votes stand out the most to me, followed by Diggit’s.

I’m looking for controversial stuff. Statements that put oneself on the line.

Natlaw (48):
Early Day One is lots of math, lynch discussion. Nothing controversial here, and not particularly alarming either as it is early on day one.
One statement threw up a red flag in my opinion:
post 340: “Now let’s talk about finding scum, mkay?”
Not a biggie, but it does catch my eye.

MidDayOne: Natlaw gets into a bit of a discussion with Meeko about “third vote” re: fluiddruid, but it’s Meeko who wants to ‘fight’ Natlaw diffuses the situation.

Natlaw leans toward peeker being ‘bad play’ and not necessarily scum, but explicitly declines to “guarantee his is town or scum now.” Which is reasonable, but it would have been nice to know what he was thinking. In other words, obviously we aren’t looking for guarantees, but opinions need to be stated.

Natlaw votes Scuba_Ben in post 460 in response to amrussell’s vote on Scuba_Ben. For ‘snuggling.’ Explicitly declines to vote of peeker. Explicit statements like that make me happy. As for what it means, I don’t know yet.

TexCat seems upset with Natlaw for only having one vote (i.e., not voting Spawn). I find this weird. Natlaw, especially scummy Natlaw, could easily vote spawn without consequence. I find it a strange charge and will have to revisit when I look at TexCat. Based on the read it looks like Oredigger was also pressing this point, though I’m not sure since I’m reading Natlaw’s posts not Oredigger’s yet.

Day Two: votes for KellyCriterion. The charge is playing the ‘new’ card too much. Later post clarifies and strengthens the argument.

Overall I have an OK feeling with Natlaw. The point of this exploration was to see if anyone was playing too safe. While I would like Natlaw to jump in and state his opinion on more topics, he has voted, and he has justified the votes with reasoning. In the case of KellyCriterion, he offered more than a ‘me too’ reason too.

Natlaw engages storyteller in the latter part of Day Two.

Natlaw switches his vote to Meeko.

Conclusion: I would not classify Natlaw a “clean noser.” My lack of impression was my own deficiency.

Without looking back, I would not say that I was upset. I am a firm believer that everyone needs to vote, however. And I thought Natlaw’s only having one vote down was worthy of a query for explanation. He explained and we moved on.

If Story is town, it gives scum a bit more information on when exactly he is a danger, so they could make a more informed decision on killing him. However, Story had already said he was very unlikely to kill, so scum would already have known his drawback was severe and he wasn’t much of a threat.

It would be in the interest of a scum or 3rd party Story to conceal exactly what the drawback was if he could get away with it, as it gives town no idea of when his claim could be tested. He said he wouldn’t reveal it unless he was about to die, but then he revealed it when he picked up a couple more votes.

If you are town, that would be an incredibly anti-town action. This sounds like a bluff to me.

I was thinking along similar lines. SK is a pig to play, as to win it’s necessary to appear lynchable enough to avoid being NK’ed, while giving town a reason not to lynch you. However, I don’t think an SK could afford to give up 2 NKs. An investigator is a big threat, unless they are immune to investigations, but an SK also can’t afford town to build a pool of confirmed town, or allow the scum to eliminate town. I think it’s very unlikely Story is an SK unless he was blocked.

Point 2 was never likely to work, but the goal might have been to attract some controversy if Story is 3rd party.

You can unvote, but any unvotes will get the same scrutiny as any votes. When a player unvotes the question always is “why did they change their mind”?

This is baseless. I placed the 1st vote for Story on Day 1, the 2nd on Day 2 and the 3rd toDay. In my first post toDay I flagged up a point against Story, it should have been pretty obvious I was thinking about voting for him again.

Oredigger:

Early position: Hedges on understanding spawn, but takes stance that spawn should be eliminated.

Jumps in and answers a question not directed at him. While possibly annoying to the questioner, this type of active play is a point in Oredigger’s favor for the purposes of ‘clean nose’ identification.

Joins the peeker is crazy not scum side of the argument.

Joins the Scuba is snuggling Meeko point of view. Votes for Scuba. Would rather lynch a quiet townie. I like this point because Oredigger offers a point that is (I believe) novel at this point in the game. I also agree with the point made here.

That’s all for Ordigger for now. I have a pop-up meeting.

Alka, my main reasoning for the fluid vote was in my post voting for him on Day One, actually–I was referencing that when I voted on Day Two.