Meanwhile, in the Bay State:
Endorsed by Sanders and Warren? Yeah all the old folk circling their wagons! 
Seriously age (and fresh face) is likely to be a factor but not the only one.
And Maine is really looking to be a nail biter.
Jackson leads narrowly in most polls but Collins still is favored narrowly in the model.
Yep, here is another model-
In a couple weeks, we can look forward to the return of (most of) the FiveThirtyEight team’s analyses:
Nate Silver’s model is already up and running on his Substack.. He’s currently showing a 53% chance of Dems winning the Senate, with a modal outcome of 4 pickups for a 51-49 margin. In the House, it’s an 83 percent chance of holding control, with a modal outcome of 16 pickups for a 231-204 margin.
So…if it’s exactly a 51-49 margin, that basically means John Fetterman runs the country, right? 
Holding control? But the GOP controls the House now?
Sorry, of course I mean gaining control.
That is what I thought, but still very good news for the House. Thanks
The good news keep on coming… yay… listlessly waves party flag
Going deeper into the Senate forecast: There are basically six battleground States, five of which are currently held by Republicans. Dems have one highly probable pickup in North Carolina. Democrats are slightly favored in Texas, Maine and Michigan (the only seat currently held by a Democrat), and Alaska, Iowa and Ohio are tossups.
So it seems like the outcome is still quite swingy. If Democrats do only slightly better than predicted, they could win the three States they lead in and at least two of the three tossups for a net gain of six or seven seats. On the other hand, if Republicans do only slightly better, they could sweep the tossup States and pick up one of the three Dem-leaners to keep it at 50-50 even while losing NC.
In the best case scenario (10% probability of doing this well or better), a true blue wave could sweep those seven States and also pick up KS, NE, SC and FL for a whopping 58-42 majority. The worst case scenario has the GOP sweeping those States and also picking up NH, MN and GA for a four-seat pickup and a 57-43 majority.
Universe, I know I haven’t been the best of Pantheists but…
I keep going back to the fact that in the off year elections Sherril and Spanberger ran way ahead of polling expectations. The VA governor’s race was 7 points more democratic than 2018, and that all happened before Trump sent ICE to kill Americans in Minneapolis and launched a war in Iran for no reason. Trump’s approval is the worst of any president heading into the midterms.
It came out earlier this week that Tom Cotton got some scary polling in Arkansas. I very much doubt he’ll be in true danger, but if the waterline is up to Tom Cotton’s doorstep a lot of other Republicans have drowned.
Yeah that’s the point: these are not random flips. And Trump seems to be doing everything that can be done to make it hard on GOP candidates.
Does some part of him prefer having Congress all D so he can rail against the evil Communists working against America stymying his work to Make America Great … it would’ve worked if that for them and their dog!
True, Fetterman has voted with the GOP a few times- in fact 7% of the time, and he has voted with the Dems 94%.
Hmm, i did not know that- here it is-
https://www.kark.com/news/your-local-election-hq/latest-poll-shows-hallie-shoffner-with-a-slight-lead-over-sen-tom-cotton-for-arkansas-us-senate-seat/
Poll numbers released Wednesday show Democratic Candidate Hallie Shoffner with a slight lead over incumbent U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) for his seat.
No, because Trump rules by decree rather than with congressional authority.
I guess, though, that it would be crucial in event of a SCOTUS opening.
Or budgets. Even trump needs a budget.
I can see some moderate Dem grudgingly voting to confirm a true legal conservative justice- but i think trump is incapable of nominating such. Another Kavanaugh is more likely and the Dems will say NO. I can see another Roberts type, sure, but that aint happening.
So, if the Dems take the Senate, and Thomas is gone- the Court will have to sit with 8 for a couple of years.
Nah, I think he’s just an idiot.
I just gotta say, I love that turn of phrase.
Why? He spends money without congressional authorization all the time. No budget means he can shut down all the regulators he doesn’t like, while he keeps bombing Iran and ripping up the white house and building monumental arches in DC.
The worst case has other R wins, like mad general election voters decide Markey is too old.