So as you all know, the case counts in the US have been steadily dropping for a while now. Vaccinations have been being administered, but seems to have more or less stalled- in my area it’s about 40% vaccinated so far. Yet despite that, and our governor’s grim intent on getting rid of everything pandemic-related ASAP, our case counts have been dropping as well.
I read an article about a possible vaccination strategy that basically posits that the most effective strategy would be to vaccinate the most socially active people first, and then follow up with the vulnerable, etc… afterward, as the “social butterflies” are the most likely to transmit the virus, and if you vaccinate them, you’re putting a huge dent in its ability to spread.
So what I’m wondering is whether the steady and consistent decline in cases is a result of some critical mass of those social butterflies either having had COVID, or having been vaccinated for it? Our vaccination rate isn’t high enough to cause herd immunity, and mask wearing seems to be on the way out, but our case rates are falling nonetheless. Could this be why?