I can not believe this woman has to respectfully listen to these disgraceful and embarrassing questions. However, in the end, is she on track to join the court or are they actually going to reject her?
I mean, is the general consensus she will join the court or not? Or is it 50/50 right now?
It is 50/50 right now, but 50/50 is good enough 
. In all seriousness, my guess is that her odds are over 99% that she will be confirmed. Most likely around 51 to 55 yays.
As far as I’m concerned, this is yet another test of just how degraded and irrationally partisan Republicans may have become. Some of the guys grilling her now were quite happy to confirm Jackson to lower court positions in the past. I knew little about Jackson before, but reading about her qualifications and watching her calm poise and thoughtful answers, she’s not the one who’s being tested here, it’s the Republicans and the question they’re being tested on is whether they have any integrity left at all. We’ll see.
When Nominee Theater has run its course she’ll be confirmed.*
*unless there are damaging revelations, like a child porn recruitment center in her basement. 
Josh Hawley – he of the fist-pumping support for the Jan 6 insurrectionists, and whose facial expression never ceases to remind me of a stunned horse every time I look at him – essentially accused Jackson of being a pedophile sympathizer. So, the answer to whether Republicans have any integrity left, as I alluded to above, is “many of them definitely do not”. But probably some still do.
ETA: While Hawley was working the pedophile angle on Jackson, Lindsey Graham was more interested in why she was so supportive of all the prisoners in Guantanamo. Apparently she is a pedophile terrorist sympathizer.
I think that a lot of the GOP questioners were never going to vote to confirm her in the first place; their questioning is political theater, to score points for their constituents, and support the narrative against “liberal activist judges.”
I also think there’s an element of, “you Democrats asked Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett all sorts of mean questions, and now it’s our turn.”
Jackson is essentially guaranteed. Not only will all 50 Ds vote for her, but there’s guaranteed to be a few defectors from the R’s.
Do you mean pedophile terrorists? Or people who terrorize pedophiles? Republicans are all about context.
Yes, these hearings aren’t really about whether or not to confirm Jackson. She’s going to be confirmed with slightly more than 50 votes, there may be a handful of GOP votes that could shift one way or another but the vast majority are set in stone. The purpose of these hearings are to generate sound bites for campaign ads and right wing commentators to claim the Biden is put someone on the supreme court who supports child molesters and doesn’t know the difference between a man and a woman.
And, as this WaPo analysis notes, several of the Republican senators who are making particularly partisan noise during this hearing (Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Marsha Blackburn) appear to be in the exploratory stages of Presidential runs in 2024.
The analysis also notes that several Democratic senators who wound up running for the nomination in 2020 – Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, and Amy Klobuchar – used Kavanaugh’s hearings in 2018 to create their own talking points. So, SOP, I guess.
Obviously a “few” is open to interpretation, but I will pay cash money if more than two Republican Senators vote for her confirmation.
yes. yes, she will.
Yes, she will be confirmed.
She needs to start saying, “I can’t comment on legislative matters” every time they ask her if penalties are harsh enough, which is some bullshit. I applaud her willingness to give thoughtful answers but I don’t think it’s helpful at this point.
They have asked her about her LSAT scores - attempt to id her as an affirmative action, unqualified person by virtue of her gender or race or both.
They have asked her about CRT - oh no - she’s black!
They have really gone after sex crimes (oh the irony) - I think they’re trying to tie into Q theories.
It’s degrading theater. I wish we could go straight to the vote.
Are all 50 non-Republicans committed to voting yes? If so, I think Harris votes the tie-breaker, right?
Only 51 votes are required, right?
Yeah it’s just theater at this point. My daughter was aghast at seeing some highlights of the session yesterday - I assured her every SC nominee has had to go thru the same gauntlet.
Netflix (I think) has a documentary on the recent history of the Supreme Court nominating process and why it’s become so political. Evidently, the total warfare of SC nominees, in modern times, goes back to Clarence Thomas, with the whole Anita Hill thing. Ever since then it’s been a cage match between the parties whenever an opening appears. Also, the Federalist Society and McConnell’s guidance for SC picks for Republican Presidents - they have a line-up of who’s on deck.
To my knowledge, no Senator yet has come out and unequivocally committed to voting yes or no on Brown. We’re still in the “pretend like I’m taking all information into account before deciding how I’ll vote” stage even as they viciously attack/fawningly praise the nominee. But there are only four votes about which there can be any doubt – Collins and Murkowski for the Rs, and Manchin and Sinema for the Ds.
Assuming everyone sticks with their party, it would be 50-50 with VP Harris breaking the tie.
How does Romney usually vote on things like this? Party line?
She is going to be confirmed. The questioning has been political theater and IMHO not very tough on her, of course there are going to be questions that try to put the person on the spot and trip her up, but she is doing fine so far.
She is after all a liberal, replacing a liberal, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and seems to be a safe choice for that role. Now if this was about a pivotal change in the court from conservative to liberal they would be much harder on her.
I see her as being confirmed with several Republicans voting in support. Now the next nomination for the court, that will be a shit show.
Frankly, I’d like to see the D’s use a Jimmy Johnson approach. “We guarantee that Jackson will be confirmed. You can put it in three-inch headlines. Any more? We can move straight on to voting right now, but are being nice enough to let you Rs ask your meaningless posturing questions.”
I would like to see sex crimes, and nazism, stop being the political catch-all hobby horse used when one party wants to tar a candidate or nominee.