Super Tuesday Results thread

Politics & Elections
41

North Dakota was just called for Santorum.

42

I’m not sure- it might take a major push by Romney to squeeze out Santorum. 2/3 in and still down by 14,000 or so.

43

I hadn’t realized that only Romney and Paul were on the ballot in Virginia. Seems surprising Gingrich and Santorum didn’t make the effort to run in that state. I understand it’s a tough state to qualify in but if Paul could do it, you’d think Gingrich and Santorum could also. And Gingrich’s base is in the south; he shouldn’t have conceded those delegates.

And Virginia has another interesting policy. It’s a proportional state, which means that Gingrich and Santorum could have received delegates even if Romney won. But if any candidate wins a majority in Virginia then it becomes a winner-take-all state. So by making it a two man race, they pretty much guaranteed Romney would receive all the Virginia delegates.

44

Recapping

Vermont - Romney (Winner)
Virginia - Romney (Winner)
Georgia - Gingrich (Winner)
Oklahoma - Santorum (Winner)
Tennessee - Santorum (Winner)
North Dakota - Santorum (Winner)
Massachusetts - Romney (Winner)
Ohio - Santorum (Leading)
Idaho - Romney (Leading)
Alaska - (0% reporting)

45

Any updates on what the results mean in terms of delegates? (aggregated to date) Would be interested to know how close each is to actual nomination

46

Gingrich and Santorum missed the filing deadline by not having the required number of verifiable ballot signatures.

47

Talking Points Memo just reported (sorry, don’t have the link handy) that updated exit polling has the race as a dead heat. The previous batch of exit polls at 8PM had Santorum up by 1 point.

48

At some point, it’s going to get to where Romney just can’t squeeze Santorum out anymore, and Romney’s team has to realize the whole thing’s just gone to shit.

49

I really hope Santorum wins Ohio. That’ll make this race drag out. He is ahead by 16k votes with 71% reporting. But I don’t know if Ohio is a winner take all state or not. Either way.

50

Yep, I am with you.

With 71% reporting in Ohio

Santorum 311,120 38%
Romney 295,678 36%
Gingrich 119,117 15%
Paul 76,762 9%

51

I’m starting to doubt that the last 28% is going to erase a 14,000 vote deficit racked up in the first 72% of the vote. Santorum just might pull this out.

52

Luke Russert at NBC said they have various projections that have either Romney or Santorum winning Ohio by less than 1%.

Russert also pointed out that Santorum doesn’t have a complete delegate slate in every Congressional district in Ohio, so he could conceivably win the popular vote but Romney could end up with more delegates.

53

With 75% reporting in Ohio

Santorum 324,777 38%
Romney 312,670 37%
Gingrich 125,388 15%
Paul 79,941 9%

54

Here’s why I think it *could *happen:

  • the current results show Cuyahoga reporting 41% of votes in, and Romney up by 7,000 votes. If the rest of the county goes the way of the first 41%, Romney will make up about 8,000 votes.

  • the current results show Hamilton reporting 46% of votes, and Romney up by 4200 votes. If the rest of the county goes the way of the first 46%, Romney will make up about 4500 votes.

  • together, then, when those two counties finish reporting, it’s not unreasonable to think that Romney will have made up about 12k of his current 15k deficit.

Not that either result would surprise me at this point.

55

That’s what it’s starting to look like - I think Santorum has run Mittens out of stones.

56

Well crap with 78% reporting Romney has narrowed the race to 7k votes.

57

Mitt has made up much of the deficit now- looks like it’ll be a late night.

58

Here comes Romney

With 78% reporting in Ohio

Santorum 336,052 38%
Romney 329,196 37%
Gingrich 130,124 15%
Paul 82,766 9%

59

Chuck Todd just threw out that there’s a decent chance there will be a recount in OH.

60

Here comes Romney

With 81% reporting in Ohio

Santorum 347,897 38%
Romney 341,880 37%
Gingrich 134,066 15%
Paul 86,083 9%