Super Tuesday Results thread

[Onomatopoeia]

With 12% reporting in Idaho, Romney retains a sizable lead. I predict Romney will win Idaho.

[waterj2]

Any idea if the newer votes are getting through the Cuyahoga and Hamilton backlog?

[Ennui]

Perfect potential result, Santorum wins the popular vote but Romney gains a greater number of delegates. There are three Congressional districts in Ohio where Santorum is not eligible to receive delegates. So of Ohio’s 66 delegates 9 of them can not go to Rick.

CNN reporting the lead being 2,500 for Santorum atm.

[Onomatopoeia]

Santorum’s barely holding on to his lead

With 84% reporting in Ohio

Santorum 358,742 38%
Romney 356,172 37%
Gingrich 141,280 15%
Paul 89,025 9%

[DSeid]

In terms of delegates the night is Romney’s, win or lose Ohio … even a narrow loss in ohio would still likely give him more delegates there.

A Santorum win in Ohio could still leave Romney gaining more delegates. That’s because Santorum’s campaign - understaffed even before he caught fire nationally - did not file a full slate of delegates in nine of the state’s 16 congressional districts. The majority of Ohio’s GOP delegates are awarded by district.

[galen_ubal]

Google and the AP have clubbed together on an electoral map of the primaries - gives current results and past, along with a delegate count.

[Kent_Clark]

@waterj2

Any idea if the newer votes are getting through the Cuyahoga and Hamilton backlog?

Chuck Todd said it’s unlikely they’ll have all the results in before 6:00 a.m.

[Onomatopoeia]

Santorum’s holding on for dear life in Ohio

With 86% reporting

Santorum 366,013 38%
Romney 363,527 37%
Gingrich 143,204 15%
Paul 90,456 9%

[Flyer]

@Onomatopoeia

Romney will probably win Ohio, but it’s going to be close.

@appleciders

Santorum is doing much better in Ohio than I thought. I figured Mitt had gained enough momentum to pull it out in the last few days, but maybe not. 31% reporting there, and Santorum has a lead of 10,000 votes; about 3%. Damn, but Romney may not be able to credibly claim a mandate tonight.

@Parthol

I’m still in agreement with this. Even with 53% of the vote in, the projected remainder of Hamilton county alone wipes out the entirety of Santorum’s lead, and then some.

That said, it’ll still be fairly close, which is kind of embarrassing for someone with Romney’s monetary advantage.

Edit: if course, as soon as I typed that, they updated the county-by-county tally, and Romney’s Hamilton advantage has shrunk. Still, Cuyahoga rates to net Romney about 8000 votes, and Hamilton now another 5000, and Santorum’s lead is less than those 13,000.

One interesting thing about this cycle is that Santorum has consistently outperformed his polls.

Also, he’s been the beneficiary of good timing more than once–Romney has lost or begun to lose a bounce from previous wins or good publicity just as election day came around.

[Kozmik]

@IceQube

I was hoping to see Gingrich come back. His resurgence should shake the field up a little bit and provide for some interesting soundbites :).

He did win Georgia.

[appleciders]

Looks like Romney’s ahead in Ohio.

[Airman_Doors_USAF]

@Little_Nemo

I hadn’t realized that only Romney and Paul were on the ballot in Virginia. Seems surprising Gingrich and Santorum didn’t make the effort to run in that state. I understand it’s a tough state to qualify in but if Paul could do it, you’d think Gingrich and Santorum could also. And Gingrich’s base is in the south; he shouldn’t have conceded those delegates.

And Virginia has another interesting policy. It’s a proportional state, which means that Gingrich and Santorum could have received delegates even if Romney won. But if any candidate wins a majority in Virginia then it becomes a winner-take-all state. So by making it a two man race, they pretty much guaranteed Romney would receive all the Virginia delegates.

I’m surprised that Santorum didn’t try in Virginia, either. After all, when he was Pennsylvania’s Senator he was living in Virginia. You would think that he’d get the Favorite Son votes.:rolleyes:

[Onomatopoeia]

Romney just took the lead in Ohio

With 86% reporting

Romney 390,810 37%
Santorum 388,973 37%
Gingrich 153,793 15%
Paul 96,669 9%

[Onomatopoeia]

And it looks like Romney is pulling away.

With 86% reporting in Ohio

Romney 401,744 38%
Santorum 395,808 37%
Gingrich 156,437 15%
Paul 98,609 9% 37%

Oh well. It was fun while it lasted.

[Happy_Lendervedder]

Politico has Romney up by over 6,000-- 0.5%. It’s not looking good for the fans of froth.

[waterj2]

Ooooh. Tightening a little:
Romney 411,605
Santorum 407,798

[Ennui]

So, if you held the purse strings of a Romney superpac, would you find a way to funnel cash into Gingrich’s campaign? After all odds are probably good that if Newt dropped out slightly more than half of his voters would go to Santorum. I think it’s safe to say that if Newt weren’t running Romney would have lost Ohio.

[Onomatopoeia]

I don’t see how Santorum makes up a 5.5K deficit at this stage of the game.

With 90% reporting in Ohio

Romney 420,112 38%
Santorum 414,748 37%
Gingrich 163,127 15%
Paul 103,140 9% 37%

[Onomatopoeia]

Duplicate post. Weird.

[Frank]

@Kozmik

He did win Georgia.

He finished third or fourth in every other state tonight. He can’t win with just the south, and he’s not even getting all of that. He won South Carolina but lost resoundingly in Florida and Tennessee.