Things heat up in Syria. Some people, and some peoples, just do not understand the concept of “Wait your turn.” :mad: The Libyans had the consideration to start their revolution after the Egyptian one was finished.
I don’t think this unrest is going to escalate to Libya-level or to Egypt-level or even to Bahrain-level, just because Assad has a better army than Gaddafi had and a better grip on it than Mubarak had, but I welcome contrary arguments.
The other being Algeria, which has its own problems in similar regard. But, apparently, Yemen and Bahrain and Oman, also having unrest, supported it; not sure why.
Syria has other components, to consider. First of all Syria has a powerful influence in Lebanon still.
You destabilize Syria and Lebanon is effected. This is gonna make Israel nervous and you have the potential for a mess. Syria and Jordan have never been best of buddies either. Syria and Turkey have border disputes.
Now this doesn’t mean that I consider the government of Syria a good thing, but it’s one thing to consider and add into the debate.
Nobody’s even demanding Assad or the Ba’ath Party go, they just want reforms – less corruption, more transparency. The government has promised to “study” legalizing political parties, and lifting the emergency rule that has been in place since 1963.
Even though you’re most certainly better informed than me about the local situation, I don’t really see how attacking Israel would make much sense in case of American bombings (I’m assuming here you’re refering to a ground attack, not to missiles).
Anyway, I must admit that an American attack (necessarily not backed by the UN this time) would result in total destabilization of the region with who knows what results.
Well…academic, anyway There’s no way it’s going to happen.
That’s when not being an atheist would come in handy. At least, one could pray for the rioters or something.
Attacking Israel instantly turns the Assad regime into the defenders of the homeland, and the protesters into Zionist fellow travelers. It also wins Syria support from throughout the Muslim world, including perhaps a division or two of Iranian troops to “help them out”. Of course, it’ll also mean they’ll get their asses kicked, but if they’re already being bombed by NATO, what do they have to lose?
Anyway, I *was *referring to missiles - but just because it starts with missiles, doesn’t mean it’ll end with them. If Tel Aviv comes under fire, Israel won’t hesitate to send in the ground troops.
Of course, maybe I’m just being pessimistic (it’s our national pastime). Still, I’d be very wary of outside intervention in Syria.
And Syria is still deploying troops to put down protesters. Saw a clip on Anderson Cooper tonight, where some guys had to take cover from police gunfire and brave it to try to retrieve their friend who was lying shot in the street, but alive. While the police kept shooting at them.
Cooper explained this is because it is now government/police/military policy not to allow the bodies of anyone shot down in the protests to be retrieved, alive or dead, because the funerals of persons killed in protests keep turning into fresh protests.