- Detroit Lions (Record: 0-16)
Kiper pick: Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia – Stafford is worthy of being the No. 1 overall pick
McShay pick: Stafford – It appears the No. 1 pick is Stafford’s to lose.
- St. Louis Rams (2-14)
Kiper pick: Jason Smith, OT, Baylor – The OT spot is strong at the top with Smith, a former tight end who is supremely athletic and exactly what you want in a left tackle
McShay pick: Smith – Smith has emerged as the top offensive lineman in the 2009 class.
- Kansas City Chiefs (2-14)
Kiper pick: Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest – He’s a complete OLB with great character and work ethic
McShay pick: Curry – The Chiefs choosing to beef up the defensive or offensive line isn’t out of the question here, but Curry is the best defensive player in this year’s draft
- Seattle Seahawks (4-12)
Kiper pick: Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia – Monroe is just a shade below Jason Smith in my opinion
McShay pick: B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College – The Seahawks taking an offensive tackle is a strong possibility here, especially with their recent addition of free-agent DT Colin Cole. However, Raji is the only elite defensive tackle in this class
- Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Kiper pick: B.J. Raji – Raji is the top defensive tackle in this draft.
McShay pick: Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas – Orakpo left the combine as the top hybrid DE/OLB in the 2009 class.
- Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Kiper pick: Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech – The stress fracture in his left foot shouldn’t affect his draft status.
McShay pick: Eugene Monroe – Crabtree certainly is a possibility here, but the Bengals need to solidify their offensive line, and Monroe clearly is the next-best option at offensive tackle.
- Oakland Raiders (5-11)
Kiper pick: Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri – Maclin will have to adjust to an NFL offense, but I really like his big-play capability
McShay pick: Maclin – Speed will rule in the Oakland draft room as long as owner Al Davis is calling the shots.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11)
Kiper pick: Mark Sanchez, QB, USC – Sanchez definitely is one of the top five-to-eight players available in this draft, and getting him here would be a bit of a steal
McShay pick: Michael Crabtree – The team has pressed all the wrong buttons at wide receiver for years now, but taking Crabtree would be a no-brainer.
- Green Bay Packers (6-10)
Kiper pick: Brian Orakpo – I view Orakpo as a 4-3 end with the ability to also play on his feet in a 3-4 as an attacking outside linebacker.
McShay pick: Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn State – The Packers could use a young pass-rusher like Maybin
- San Francisco 49ers (7-9)
Kiper pick: Aaron Maybin – Maybin is another combo type who is explosive out of the blocks and relentless in his pursuit of the quarterback.
McShay pick: Andre Smith, OT, Alabama – Smith’s underwhelming pro day performance hardly shifted his negative momentum, but you can’t overlook his combination of size and feet.
- Buffalo Bills (7-9)
Kiper pick: Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State – Pettigrew remains the No. 1 tight end on the board and would be a boost to the Buffalo passing attack.
McShay pick: Everette Brown, DE, Florida State – Brown is undersized and might fit best as a strongside linebacker, which could work for the Bills.
- Denver Broncos (8-8)
Kiper pick: Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU – Jackson would be ideal in a 3-4, thanks to his ability to shift inside in passing situations.
McShay pick: Jackson – The Broncos need to bulk up along the defensive front in order to make a smooth transition to the 3-4 scheme.
- Washington Redskins (8-8)
Kiper pick: Andre Smith – Smith has to manage his weight in order to remain on the left side. If he doesn’t, he’s a mauler at right tackle who could really assist the running game and do the job at that spot in pass protection. Hopefully, he’ll maximize his skills in the NFL by paying more attention to detail. If he doesn’t, you are looking at a major bust.
McShay pick: Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi – The Redskins’ offensive line is aging in a hurry, and offensive tackles who move like Oher do not last long on draft day
- New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Kiper pick: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia – There isn’t anything remotely close to the talent and depth at running back available in the draft last year, but Moreno is a good fit for the Saints at this spot.
McShay pick: Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio State – Jenkins could fall out of the top 10 following his subpar showing at the combine.
- Houston Texans (8-8)
Kiper pick: Brian Cushing, OLB, USC – Cushing’s ability to fit both inside and outside is the reason I’ve always viewed him as a surefire first-rounder.
McShay pick: Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee – Many think Knowshon Moreno or Chris “Beanie” Wells could be the choice here, but will coach Gary Kubiak really spend the 15th overall pick on a running back?
- San Diego Chargers (8-8)
Kiper pick: Malcolm Jenkins – Jenkins has all the qualities you look for, with the exception of top-flight recovery speed, which is an obvious concern.
McShay pick: Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC – Maualuga’s draft stock could hinge on the severity of the hamstring injury he suffered at the combine and how it affects his individual workouts.
- New York Jets (9-7)
Kiper pick: Percy Harvin, WR, Florida – Harvin reminds me of the Reggie Bush we now see with the Saints.
McShay pick: Mark Sanchez – Sanchez should come off the board earlier than this, but it’s difficult to pinpoint the exact spot right now.
- Chicago Bears (9-7)
Kiper pick: Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland – Heyward-Bey’s awesome size-speed ratio should win out here and give the Bears the kind of wideout they need to open up the passing game.
McShay pick: Heyward-Bey – The Bears need a receiver capable of stretching the field vertically. Heyward-Bey’s combine-best 40 time (4.30 seconds) is all you need to know right here.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
Kiper pick: Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State – Freeman is an interesting prospect because he throws a great ball and has imposing size at nearly 6-foot-6 and 245 pounds.
McShay pick: Freeman – New coach Raheem Morris has a first-hand perspective on Freeman’s enormous potential, having coached him at Kansas State in 2006.
- Detroit Lions (from 9-7 DAL) (0-16)
Kiper pick: Robert Ayers – Ayers enjoyed a solid season in the SEC and then was one of the standouts during Senior Bowl week.
McShay pick: Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi – Jerry has the quick first step and upper-body power
- Philadelphia Eagles (9-6-1)
Kiper pick: Donald Brown, RB, Connecticut – Brown could end up being one of the more productive rookie backs in 2009 because of his all-around skills and tremendous character.
McShay pick: Knowshon Moreno – Chris Wells would be a better complement to Brian Westbrook in the short term, but Moreno’s versatility makes him a better fit to ultimately succeed Westbrook in the Eagles’ pass-happy system.
- Minnesota Vikings (10-6)
Kiper pick: Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina – Nicks won’t wow you in a workout, but on game day, he makes the tough catches
McShay pick: Percy Harvin – The Vikings have proved they will take the best available athlete.
- New England Patriots (11-5)
Kiper pick: Clay Matthews, OLB, USC – Matthews has enjoyed a monumental rise up the draft board since August.
McShay pick: Matthews – Matthews has a non-stop motor, exceptional versatility and an NFL pedigree.
- Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Kiper pick: Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech – Johnson is an enigma. He’s blessed with a ton of ability and huge pass-rush potential, but he didn’t come through with anything close to the dominating senior season most expected.
McShay pick: Brandon Pettigrew – Pettigrew isn’t a burner, which is why he could slip. However, he is the most complete tight end in this class and would be a big, reliable target over the middle for QB Matt Ryan.
- Miami Dolphins (11-5)
Kiper pick: Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois – Davis is an impressive physical specimen, but he lacked consistency with the Illini
McShay pick: Brian Cushing – Miami has more pressing needs at cornerback and wide receiver, but Cushing is a steal this late in the first round
- Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Kiper pick: Rey Maualuga – Maualuga is capable of becoming a quality “Mike” linebacker in the NFL but needs to use his hands better
McShay pick: Vontae Davis – Davis hasn’t won over many scouts with his footwork or his attention to detail.
- Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Kiper pick: Peria Jerry – Jerry is a very underrated prospect and would be a good fit in the Indianapolis scheme.
McShay pick: Evander Hood, DT, Missouri – Hood is a classic 3-technique with the quickness and athleticism to disrupt plays in the backfield.
- Philadelphia Eagles (from 12-4 CAR) (9-6-1)
Kiper pick: Michael Oher – Oher is one of the more intriguing prospects in the draft.
McShay pick: Eben Britton, OT, Arizona – Britton has surprisingly quick feet for his size (6-foot-6, 309 pounds) and ultimately could develop into a better option than Winston Justice at the left tackle position vacated by Tre Thomas
- New York Giants (12-4)
Kiper pick: Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers – Britt has a ton of talent and is just beginning to scratch the surface of his potential.
McShay pick: James Laurinaitis, ILB, Ohio State – Laurinaitis has too many physical limitations to go in the first half of the first round
- Tennessee Titans (13-3)
Kiper pick: Everette Brown – Brown should do well in the Tennessee defensive rotation because of his strong skill set.
McShay pick: Hakeem Nicks – I think Nicks ultimately will emerge as the second- or third-best receiver from the 2009 class.
- Arizona Cardinals (9-7)
Kiper pick: Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State – Wells is the second-best back in this draft behind Knowshon Moreno and could be a nice pickup for the Cardinals
McShay pick: Wells – The Cardinals will be targeting a pass-rusher with this pick, but they won’t be able to pass on the most naturally gifted back in the 2009 class.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Kiper pick: Darius Butler, CB, Connecticut – Butler might not be as good as Vontae Davis or Malcolm Jenkins, but he should be a good fit for the defending champs.
McShay pick: Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest – Offensive line no longer is the pressing need it once was for the Steelers, so they can address other needs.