The 2016 Republican candidates

That’s actually surprisingly strong for Christie. We might have to start taking him seriously again.

“… you know what I’m saying?

Umm, no, I do not. I mean, I get that big words make your head hurt, but, umm, there are these “sentence” things, and, you know, right? Or are “sentences” only for convicts?

In June, Fox News gave Donald Trump more airtime than any other GOP Presidential contender. Trump clocked in at 1 hour 48 minutes, 27% higher than Rick Perry who came in 2nd. Rounding up third was failed CEO Carly Fiorina at 1 hour 15 min.

Jeb Bush missed the bronze at 52 minutes, trailed closely by my man Ted Cruz at 49 minutes.

Now widen the analytic window and consider the May1 - June 30th era. Trump was still in first at 2 hours 39 minutes; Carly was 2nd at 1 hour 53 minutes. Huckabee won third at (1:33).

After that it’s basically a three way tie between Perry (1:25), Rand Paul (1:23) and Jeb (1:22). Chris Christie was (1:18).

In last place was John Kasich at 38 minutes, less than a quarter of Donald Trump’s coverage.

In all fairness, John Kasich is really really boring.

Kasich can also be just as goofy when speaking off the cuff.

Scott Walker is in. He’s running for president.

John McCain thinks Kasich has a hair-trigger temper. McCain.

This now brings the number of declared Republican candidates to 15 (counting only those featured in major polls). Still waiting to hear from Kasich and Gilmore.

He’s taken his time in declaring. It was clear from January that he was a front-runner. So why the wait? I mean, Jeb’s collared the money, right? Or can his superPACs switch their support?

As I understand it, once you declare the rules and/or accounting for fundraising changes in a way that requires more accountability, so candidates will stay officially on the fence longer for that reason.

Not necessarily. David Koch is a big fan of Walker.

OTOH, Walker and his assorted staff members are the subject of an ongoing investigation into the finances of his gubernatorial run. I haven’t been following this too closely, so I don’t have much information except that the Wisconsin Supreme Court is hearing at least 3 challenges to the investigation and will probably rule on it later this summer or fall. It’s possible that this will head to the US Supremes because at least part of the investigation is about Walker’s relationship to a dark money group that also financed the election of one of the Wisconsin Supremes involved in the case.

I have no idea about the case’s merits or what it’s outcome might be - but having this play out in front of the Kleig lights of an election might be trouble for Walker.

A previous thread that may be of interest: Is there a good reason that candidates are so coy about officially announcing their run? - Politics & Elections - Straight Dope Message Board

Jebbie on appeasement, apparently talking about Iran:
[QUOTE=Jeb!]
“We need to have a deeper debate about this and the recognition that past is prologue. History is full of examples of, when you enable people – regimes – that don’t embrace democratic values, without any concessions, you get a bad result. It’s called appeasement.”
[/QUOTE]
I can think of an example of an important regime that doesn’t embrace democratic values, that we haven’t required any concessions of.

Saudi Arabia. The Bush Family’s best buds.

Yeah, maybe we should stop appeasing them.

Google Trends on the candidates: https://googledataorg.cartodb.com/u/googledata/viz/61090146-2213-11e5-bd23-42010a149c0c/embed_map

Just noticed that the U.S. last acquired a state in 1912, according to Google Trends.

Trump Your Cat!: #TrumpYourCat is the best thing on the Internet this week - here are the funniest pictures

Surprise! Donald Trump will file financial disclosure forms this week:

I think you may have been right before the recent polls put him just behind Jeb!, but it has now gone to his head, and he actually believes he could be elected president.

Not necessarily. Filing FEC forms could help him as the FEC is a toothless watchdog and their efforts are presumably focused more on underdisclosure than overdisclosure. As I’ve noted before, most of Trump’s disagreement with Forbes regarding his net worth relate to the value he attaches to his brand ($3 billion vs nice try). If he felt like it, Trump could tell the FEC that his brand is worth $6 billion and claim for years that his estimates have official governmental endorsement even though they don’t.

Dollars and Cents
I am curious about whether this run will end up in Trump’s profit or bankrupt category. In 2 years, will developers in Asia still be clamoring for his name plate? Or will it be poison? Losing the Miss Universe broadcast is peanuts to the guy; losing developmental opportunities in Latin America is more costly.

oh please, oh please, oh please, oh please, oh please, oh please …

Toothless or not, the argument was that the disclosure requirement would scare Trump away by October at the latest. That was what I was rebutting, since it is clear now he will not try to avoid the financial disclosure required of candidates.

Oh sure. I’m speculating that he’s still not especially interested in the Presidency and that filling out the FEC report advances his brand.