He’s not conceding.
"Mike Lindell said his team needs to “reconcile these numbers” before conceding.
“If this is a chance to finally show that there’s problems with the computers in our election, so be it,” he said. “If I find nothing happened there and it was just a mathematical deviation of history that doesn’t make sense, I will let you all know tomorrow.”
More good news in turnout - in WI, the total number of voters in the Republican primary was under 500k; the total for the Democratic primary was well over 600k.
True, but that partly shows lack of competitiveness in the GOP governors race.
Proportions aside, in the two wards I work in western WI, we were pleasantly surprised by the steady stream of voters nearly all day. That bodes well for turnout in November, which isn’t necessarily a good thing for Dems, but I have a hunch it might lean that way this time.
He apparently came back into the race after his wife prayed for a sign and asked God to send her a red bird if he should get back in. She then saw a red bird, he reentered the race, and has now defeated Hong.
Thank God for that red bird, I guess!
No, but the attitude that there’s nothing worthwhile in Thanksgiving, it’s just a “superspreader event” is going to be seen by most average Joe American voters as ‘anti-American’.
This is true. I do think that Democrats as a whole are too tolerant of such ideas standing without pushback. But the ideas aren’t “fully accepted” among mainstream Democrats.
I heard on Squawk Box this morning that one of the prediction markets (can’t remember which one) gave Hong a 96% chance of winning. Oops.
The problem with prediction markets is that most of the people betting on Hong for the dank memes can’t even vote for her.
Not meaning to hijack, but virtually all of the people who bet on prediction markets have no control over the outcome. I suppose that if I place a bet today that the Democratic candidate will win the 2028 presidential election, and then I vote for said candidate, I have a miniscule amount of control, but no real influence. I would posit that well over 99% of the folks that bet on Hong don’t reside in Wisconsin.
/end hijack
Yes, but if you and a representative sample of American voters all make bets on the 2028 election, that’s likely go correlate with the winner of the election. (In reality “people who use prediction markets” is probably not a representative sample, but at least there’s a chance). With almost all participants being from put of state, there’s no reason at all to expect a correlation.
The prediction markets were way off because the polls were way off, both in WI this week and MI last week (though in MI, El Sayed won, just by a much smaller margin than the polls). Something is wrong in the way the polls are modeling Democratic voters right now. Either they’re overestimating left-progressive turnout, or underestimating moderate turnout. It could be related to age or any number of other factors. So far we don’t know if this is just for primaries or could impact general election polling. We’ll find out in Nov.
Tiffany winning the primary was a foregone conclusion
Wisconsin is an open primary state. I’m betting some otherwise Republicans crossed over and voted for Hong in the Democratic primary because they thought she’d be easier for Tom to beat.
Republican voters frequently crossed over and voted for David Clarke. Clarke wasn’t really a Democrat but a Republican won’t get elected Sheriff in Milwaukee County so he ran as a Dem.
Another thing on WI and Hong - Hong got over 300k voters, which would have utterly dominated any other WI primary this century. She got her voters out. So I don’t think progressive voters are being overestimated. Rather, moderate Dems are being underestimated. Hopefully that turns out to be the case for general elections too.
Well said. I agree, base both on statewide results, and what I observed all day in our two wards.
In MN, Amy Klobuchar won the D primary for governor in a walk with about 90% of the vote. She’ll run against Lisa Demuth, who beat Pillow Boy by about 10 percentage points. It should be an easy win for Amy.
Former light-gov Peggy Flanagan whipped former Rep Angie Craig in the fight for Klobuchar’s now-open Senate seat. Craig badly underestimated her popularity here, giving up her House seat to run for Senate. She made the huge mistake of voting for Trump’s ICE bill, and could not recover from the deaths that resulted, despite repenting her vote. Now she’s unemployed. Flanagan will run against R candidate Michelle Tafoya. Tafoya would likely have a shot except for the fact that D voters outnumber R voters by about 200,000. The campaign will get ugly, I’m sure.
Will Hong voters vote in the general? I think a big reason Trump won in WI is a bunch of left leaning voters stayed home because Harris wasn’t left enough (either not pro Palestinian enough or in general)
All I know is I will suffer with a bunch of ads for WI governor (again, I live in MN but most of my TV and radio stations are WI based*) – my finger will be on the “mute” button.
Brian
* most of the antennas are in MN, and one station is located in MN, but they are 90% WI news – they may mention MN (and to a lesser extent IA), but the emphasis is definitely WI
The polls are way off because primary election polls are usually way off. There aren’t nearly as many high quality polls as you’d see in a Presidential race. Nate Silver says it’s not unusual for primary polls to be up to ten points off. I’m not prepared to say polls are somehow biased in favor of progressives based on a recent sample size of two elections.
Prediction markets were way off because many people who bet on those markets don’t understand the above.
I’m not entirely sorry Hong lost, I probably would have voted for her but she didn’t seem to be a great candidate and might have harmed the progressive brand.
From what I read, the polls got Hong’s percentage of the vote pretty close. Polls showed her with about 40%, and that’s what she got. The issue is that the polls showed a large number of undecided, and they virtually all went to Crowley in the end.
I’m glad David Crowley has won the Democratic nomination. There aren’t that many governors that are also ethnic-minorities.
Hopefully the Democrats will unite and get a more moderate voice elected.
Link https://www.npr.org/2026/08/12/nx-s1-5927119/2026-minnesota-governor-primary-election-crowley-hong
Hong will not request a recount – the vote was within the 1% threshold (which makes a recount possible), but since it as not within 0.25%, her campaign would have to lay for it.
Brian