****OK, I had planned to do my analysis of yesterDay’s vote in one big info-dump tomorrow morning, but I have some free time, so I’ll get started and maybe do it in segments.
The main thing I find suspicious about the voting (aside from the fact that it didn’t go the way I thought it should have!) is that on not one, but two, separate occasions, Angel seemed to be in danger of lynch, and both times she was rescued by votes piling up for Spurious. If this had happened once, I would think likely coincidence; twice makes me really wonder.
Here, in a normal game, I would insert a disclaimer about how most of the people voting for **Spurious **were certainly Town. In this game, with the (reasonably presumed) higher scum:town ratio, I’m not sure that is so certain, but certainly many Townies must have voted for him.
Most of the people who voted for Spurious gave his voting to execute as their reason, or one of their reasons. As I’ve discussed at length, I don’t think this is a good reason to vote for someone, but I don’t think it’s so horrible a reason as to be innately suspicious even on Day One.
The first two people to vote for Spurious were **Chronos **(post 162) and AllWalker (166). I have a low level of suspicion of these two; it seems most likely that scum trying to propel a bandwagon would pick a candidate who had already demonstrated that at least some Townies were willing to vote for him.
Immediately afterward (post 167) Mahaloth casts the 3rd vote, putting George into the lead. Interesting thing about this: back in post 107, Mahaloth had agreed with Special Ed and me that we should deal harshly with anyone who edited a post. However, once a post actually is edited, **Mahaloth **never has anything to say about the matter! He doesn’t explain why he’s not voting for Angel; unless I missed something, Mahaloth goes the rest of Day One participating fairly actively, but *never commenting *on the fact that someone has done this thing which he had said should not be done, and was now getting votes for it. Also, as I noted earlier, Mahaloth’s attitude toward Spurious seemed to change radically over the course of three posts (164 ot 167); though Mahaloth did offer a plausible explanation for that.
Shortly thereafter, **Mahaloth **unvotes Spurious and votes for a lurker. As I commented at the time, there is a plausible scum motivation for this; having gotten the bandwagon rolling, he now hopes not to be on the list of those who voted for a Townie at the end of the Day.
On the other hand:
*Since I think the case against George was rubbish, I can’t be too suspicious when other people come to agree with me! This could be a case of a Townie reconsidering his vote honestly.
*If he was trying a scum maneuver, he was a bit premature about it; his unvote put **Spurious **only two votes in the lead, and I then closed it to one.
On the whole, I end up moderately suspicious of Mahaloth.
Post 170- Joey P puts **Spurious **up 4-2. That’s four out of nine consecutive posts which have contained a vote for Spurious! That’s a lot of people to just happen to make up their totally disinterested, independent minds at the same time! Joey is one of the **Spurious **voters not to mention execution, rather latching onto his comment about “not wanting to be the Sinner casting the last stone”. For timing and lameness of justification, I see this vote as moderately to highly suspicious.
(Note that in post 217, I already commented on the above four votes)
Nanook provides vote #5, with a relatively well reasoned case focusing on the execution issue. Low to moderate suspicion, based on timing.
Alright, that’s all for tonight. Chapter 2 tomorrow.