I’m surprised that I wasn’t able to find any discussion of this story on the Dope.
I’ve read a number of articles about this developing story (NPR; NY Magazine). It seems most likely that he killed her, but there doesn’t seem to be any real motive or explanation of what happened.
I just wanted to share and see if anyone else had any interesting speculation.
This is a crazy story, doubly interesting to me because I served on a sub and still work in the field (design and logistics for the US Navy working on a new submarine class).
Sounds like a the plot of a Scandinavian murder mystery novel. Judging by the norms and tropes of that genre, there’s some mysterious old family connection between Madsen and the journalist, and she brought up a terrible secret to him onboard the sub, and he killed her by accident when trying to shut her up, and then tried to hide the evidence by sinking the sub. Plus some random BDSM.
Hard not to be curious given the recipe of weird setting, unexplained disappearance and pretty female reporter. No clue what happened but it can’t be good. I doubt there’s any chance she will turn up, having tried to “start a new life” or something (the guy claimed he dropped her off after the 3 hour tour (“a three hour tour!”).
She was chasing a story, he got her in the sub, tried to have sex with her (because obviously she’s only a reporter so she can have sex with powerful and interesting guys like him) she said no, he didn’t take it well (powerful and interesting men never do) and he suddenly has a rape victim or already a corpse depending on exactly how badly he took it, and he freaked out and sank the sub to obscure the evidence.
95% sure she’s down there, and she’s dead. The only question in my mind is if she was alive at all when he sank the sub.
Madsen has been arrested and charged with involuntary manslaughter. I don’t think the police made the arrest based on watching murder mysteries.
In the BBC piece, they speak with a man who has multiple security cameras focused on the dock, and he says that he turned all of the evidence over to the police. He says that he can’t say exactly what was on the tapes, but it seems likely to me that they were a key factor in Madsen’s arrest. The police also say that Madsen changed his story about leaving her at the dock, which may mean that he is now claiming that she somehow died accidentally (fell overboard?)
I’ve seen enough true crime stories to verify that, although difficult, in the U.S. you can be convicted of murder without a body if there is enough circumstantial evidence.