If he loses votes on the floor tomorrow, then he’s absolutely toast. I’d be surprised if that happened. If he just chips away a little bit (say down to just a dozen Republican hold outs), he’s also toast. If he couldn’t cut the bargains he needed to overnight, why would he be able to over several round of voting? If it gets it down to where he’s just 2 or 3 away from clinching, though, he’ll keep pushing it.
A really comprehensive article about the vote, the holdouts, the likely path forward, and lots of interesting quotes and tidbits.
Apparently Jordan really, really wanted to vote again tonight, but the holdouts are more numerous and more dug in than he was expecting.
But the effort to strong-arm holdouts to bend Jordan’s way irked a number of Republicans, pushing them to oppose Jordan — or dig in more deeply against his candidacy.
But tensions continued to run deep in the Republican conference, with allies of both Jordan and Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.), his initial rival for the speakership, sniping at each other.
A growing number of Republicans said they would support an expansion of the temporary speaker’s powers. The Republican Governance Group, a coalition of moderates, signed off on a resolution Tuesday evening that would give McHenry more authority to run the House until Jan. 3.
Led by Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Fla.), five GOP holdouts who are staunchly against Jordan also began to publicly circulate their support for holding a floor vote to elect McHenry as speaker.
Thanks for that explanation. It is probably a sign of my age that my first association for SALT was the SALT Talks of the 1970s. I was thinking, surely those aren’t still a sticking point.
Apparently in the hours since the vote Jordan has managed to piss off a bunch of people, both those who initially supported him and those he’s been trying to win to his side.
In a move that is likely to further rankle already wary Republicans, Fox News host Sean Hannity’s staff posted a list of the 20 Republicans who didn’t vote for Jordan along with their office phone numbers.
Jordan and his lieutenants are “calling people who voted for him trying to stop the bleeding.” And they warned that those calls are “pissing off” members rather than winning them over, noting Jordan has failed to strongly and publicly disavow the attacks against his detractors.
It’s actually sounding like he may have bullied his way out of the job.
My Congresswoman, Ann Wagner, had first said that she would not vote for Jordan, then reversed and said he had “allayed” her concerns. I emailed her and asked her to trust her first instincts.
I’m skeptical whether the resistance will hold, though of course I’ll be thrilled if it does. But I think that article makes a good point that a reason why these tactics aren’t having the desired effect is that Members realize this is a preview of anytime they end up opposed to what a Speaker Jordan wants to do. Anytime they refuse to be steamrolled on a vote, he’s going to turn the right-wing ecosystem against them. They have no reason to believe or trust him when he tries to distance himself from these attacks.
Compare to Mitch McConnell. He’s never badmouthed Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, et. al. even though each one has at times made his life hell. He’s never threatened to primary one of his incumbents for refusing to go along with his strategies. Probably the most embarrassing defeat he suffered in recent years was when three of his own members defeated his measure to repeal Obamacare. He took the L, moved on, and kept good relationships with these Senators that helped get them on board with other critical conservative priorities. It’s impossible to imagine Jim Jordan having the same reaction.