I hope you are correct! (I still don’t see it happening, though).
It’s very unlikely (because even the most “moderate” Republicans in Congress are invariably cowardly), but the math works out. The Republicans have a very slim majority, and if my numbers are right, it would only take around 10 Republicans voting present or hiding in the bathroom to guarantee Jeffries the majority.
I don’t think that’d matter. Check my numbers:
432(?) Members
half plus one = 217
Votes for Jeffries: 212
Republican members: 221
If 9 Republican members vote present:
423 votes cast
half plus one = 212
Votes vor Jeffries: 212
If 9 Republicans vote present, every other dissenter can vote for Jordan, and it won’t matter.
Wait, you can only afford to lose 4 votes, and you let one of them just not be there?
Maybe he told Jordan that the other option was he’d show up and vote for someone else.
How many votes did McCarthy have against him on Jan 4th? More or less than Jordan?
Yes, thanks for laying it out like that - makes sense to me now!
Quoting myself
Go me!! For my next trick, my crystal ball says Jordan still refuses to drop out.
It seems like at this point, the House is broken. I can’t see how a Speaker is going to be elected. I can’t see any Republican getting enough votes from their own party. There are too many competing factions with opposing views. I can’t see any Republicans supporting the Democrats since there are too many crazies who would cause harm to those Republicans. Maybe enough Republicans vote “Present” so that Jeffries wins, but I’m not sure a House with Jeffries as Speaker will be able to get through any legislation.
Jeffries 210
Jordan 194
Other 25
While - realistically -I don’t think any Republican would let that happen intentionally, I have this ongoing fantasy where they screw up the math and elect Jeffries by accident while trying to play the “vote present” game.
Looks like Hunt, Payne, and Gonzalez (as well as Van Orden, who we know is in Israel) are no-shows
I have never seen a major political party helplessly flail around like this.
Good call. I thought it would be a few more, like up to 30 or so. Too bad.
Looks like the Freedumb(ass) Caucus is now 0-2 in coups.
Here’s the sad part, the more I see of the Speakership fight dating back to Jan 4th, the more proud I am that I’m an ex-Republican.
Moderates please use this as an opportunity to take the Party back.
At this point, this isn’t a genuine effort to elect Jim Jordan as Speaker. It’s about building a record of the holdouts repeatedly voting against him that can be used against them in primaries next year.
How many of those not voting for Jordan are Trumpers? I mean, Trump has endorsed Jordan, and Gaetz, and McCarthy in various forms, but they are all tangled-up now with this chaos. Maybe that’s by design, or just a happy coincidence that once again proves the point that everything Trump touches turns into mierda.
How about the more reasonable Republicans using this situation against Gaetz in his primary?
Aaand they’re recessed subject to the call of the chair.
vote over, jordan down.
would it be possible to have the former speaker from the uk voted in?
Perhaps he just wants to satisfy a public humiliation fetish.