Da, Is bolshoyeh technique for flinging rocks, no huhu.
Yeah, I don’t think we CAN predict how Starship is going to change everything. This is a massive shock to an industry that has been fairly static for decades. If Starship works, everything in the space industry changes - or should change.
On the other hand, Musk is making a huge ‘if you build it, they will come’ gamble. I could see a scenario where Starship works, but the rapid growth of Starship inventory will not be met with growth in space utilization, and SpaceX’s own rockets could compete with and kill their manufacturing, much like the growing inventory of perfectly good used airplanes killed many general aviation manufacturers.
In my ideal world, Starship will revolutionize satellite manufacturing by A) lowering the cost of failure, allowing for more innovation and cheaper manufacturing of satellites and science missions, and B) raising the number of satellites being launched high enough to kick off secondary industries making everything from parts to standard buses to completely manufactured satellites on assembly lines that have the ability to be customized with add-on hardware.
Imagine you are a small university or a company with an idea for utilizing space. Pick up the catalog from Satellite Shack, and choose your frame, propulsion, sensors, instruments, etc. Add your own custom bits and software, and you can put a complicated satellite in space for under a million bucks. Maybe WAY under if it’s small enough and you can launch it on a rideshare with 50 other satellites.
We have no idea what we might discover or be able to exploit in a world of cheap satellites and cheap launch. I can imagine, for example, a company coming ip with a lander for the moon which deploys a bunch of small rovers, each of which has a 360 degree camera and solar power. Rent the rovers out by the hour to planetariums, universities, or even individuals who get to steer a rover on the moon in real time in VR. There are already telescope networks on Earth you can buy time from.
Not that this will necessarily happen, but it’s an example of the type of new application that could come along if space access gets cheap enough.