Marco Rubio
Mike Huckabee
Scott Walker
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Rand Paul
All of them come from working class backgrounds, so that’s an advantage right there. All of them represent change. Many of them are quite young. Some of them have executive experience and can point to real accomplishments. None of them have Clinton’s documented record of dishonesty and playing by their own rules. Some of them are much more charismatic than Clinton. Rubio is a superstar when he’s on his game. Huckabee has always been an engaging talker. Christie’s always had a weird “tough guy” charisma although I’m not sure how much that helps against “tough lady” Clinton.
It’s looking increasingly likely that Hillary Clinton will never be President, although I’m not sure enough to make a prediction just yet. Once I see her trailing consistently though, stick a fork in her.
Not a bad list, I agree Ol Bridge Scandal Christie has a chance. Walker doesn’t. Huckster doesn’t. Perhaps one of the others will pull it off. Time will tell
Walker is leading most polls, so by definition he has a chance. I don’t think you can ever predict with certainty that the first place person won’t continue to be the first place person.
Huck has never shown much appeal beyond the evangelical base, but he’s engaging and non-threatening and that always counts for something. He’s got a good chance of winning Iowa and will compete in SC. If he wins both IA and SC he’ll be a contender.
She’s polling well under 50% now against relative unknowns.
She’s got no history of coming from behind, and it’s directly related to her ultra cautious campaigning style. If she gets behind, she probably stays behind.
Since she’ still leading by 3-5 points, I’m not making any predictions yet, but once we see a couple of reliable polls showing her trailing multiple candidates, I think it’ll be pretty much over for her. I don’t think she’ll even win the nomination at that point because I don’t think the DNC powers that be will back her any longer.
Walker is leading in IA and NH and is within 2 in the national polling. Given how small those leads are, sure, he could very well not be in such a great position for long, but since he’s first right now I wouldn’t be willing to say he has no chance. That just seems ridiculous to me, declaring that a first place candidate has no chance. It’s why I won’t say Clinton is beaten just yet, even though everyone knows her and she can’t muster above 46% in registered voter polls against likely opponents. But as long as other candidates muster even less support, she has to be assumed to still be in contention. If say, Marco Rubio becomes more well known by the fall and is ahead of her 48-42, then I think her chances are done.
People know Hillary. People don’t know Walker. When Walker becomes more known and his extremism is brought to light, he will wind up winning fewer states than McCain. If he got the nomination, that is. Which he won’t. It will be Jeb.
Herman Cain didn’t lose first place for no particular reason. He lost first place because allegations about him and sexual harassment came out.
Walker may very well have no chance, but there has to be a reason, something that is currently not known, for that to make sense. Rubio might actually be in 1st right now though, since every poll since his official entrance says he is.
I agree that Walker is a candidate that might pose general election problems. There are better choices. It won’t be Jeb though. And it might not even be Clinton. Once Clinton appears vulnerable, everything changes. Her big lead among Democrats is keeping other big names out. If that starts to degrade, we’ll definitely see Biden and might even see people like Howard Dean or Mark Warner.
But what if we don’t see a couple of reliable polls showing her trailing multiple candidates? When should we expect to see evidence of this freefall? How long must we wait?
If we don’t see such polls, then she’s obviously still got a good chance. If I was sure we’d see such polls, I’d make the prediction right now. I THINK we will see her trailing most Republican candidates by October, but I could be wrong.
