The Trump Administration: A Clusterfuck in the Making

Trevor Noah was right, ages ago:

Mexico called. They’re going to pay for The Wall!!

Be careful what you say to students

and, of course,

“Divisive, inaccurate and irresponsible”, damn she is projecting hard.

I’m worried that Republicans are thinking “look how bad the government is; next time we need some kind of outsider to shake up the system.”

And another instance of a Trump official attempting to meddle with the employment of someone they are politically opposed to.

“We just didn’t go outside enough.”

We liberals need to understand that Trump is very popular. His approval rating isn’t dropping, it’s been steady at around 38% for the past 4 months. His supporters think Trump’s failures are due to obstruction by the Establishment, including Republicans in Congress. Unless Democrats understand this and act accordingly, Republicans will send even more Tea Party / Freedom Caucus types to Congress in 2018. Trump will win re-election in 2020 because Democrats will once again think “Trump is so bad, he’s going to lose for sure” and stay home on election day.

Specifically, “look how bad Congress is.” Which is why in the Alabama Senate primary, Roy Moore beat the establishment opponents (incumbent Luther Strange and Congressman Mo Brooks). Yes, Trump endorsed Luther Strange, but that doesn’t change the fact that Moore was the Trump-like outsider / populist candidate.

I don’t know about whether Trump is dumber or crazier than Kim. Both have severe Narcissism and are not particularly bright. But if something bad goes down in Korea, it’s much more likely to be Trumps fault for two reasons. First Kim is more knowledgeable about the issues involved, having spent his whole life immersed in it as about to a few of hours of military briefings dialed to to a sixth grade reading level. Also Kim’s life is on the line so he won’t take any reckless chances, while Trump is playing with other peoples lives, and would gladly trade in the lives of a couple of hundred thousand South Koreans if it meant higher ratings for him. Heck, even if Kim did have a ballistic missile capable of hitting the US, it not like California voted for him.

The article states that he was in a hangar at the time. No requirement to stand while in a building.

I hate the piece shit, but let’s save our ire for things that deserve it.

No, it is not holding steady:

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/10/trumps-approval-ratings-drop-in-every-state.html

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/trump-support-plummets-rural-areas-small-towns-poll-article-1.3551731

With all due awe and an utter absence of snarkitude…wha? The “requirement”. for starters, and then “building”? Maybe I’m the only one who doesn’t get this, but I don’t get this. I mean, what the Hell can you be inside of that wasn’t built? A cave, I guess, so the nature of correct and respectful display would be totally different in a cave?

Maybe its finally happened, and my brains have turned to cheese. I gape, I stare, I don’t get it…

I don’t think I can agree; the overall trend is still downward, but with sufficient gradualness that looking only at a few months could be misleading.

Further, 38% isn’t anywhere near “very popular”. It’s more popular than he should be, agreed. But it ain’t great.

See, this is what I’m talking about - liberals in denial about Trump’s popularity. This is how liberals will fail to defeat Trump in 2020.

Just look at the poll trends. Every time Trump did something horrible and polls dropped slightly, the media cried “Trump popularity dropping in all states!” but the numbers slowly creep back up, until it happens again. His approval rating is still higher than it was in August.

And of the people saying the US is heading in the wrong direction, many think the “right” direction is where Trump wants us to go, and Congress is stopping him from achieving his goals.

We can’t be complacent. We can’t just sit back and watch Trump self-destruct - because he isn’t, at least not yet.

Just before the election, polls showed Trump’s favorability rating at 37%. He still won. Favorability isn’t exactly the same thing as approval, but I think most voters would respond the same to both questions.

I don’t think failing to catastrophize the results of an election three years out of complacency, particularly when the disliked incumbent is – contrary to your statements here – historically quite unpopular. Yes, his approval rating bounces around, but we’ll need more time to suss out whether the downward trend is over.

That doesn’t mean you should lean back, kick up your heels, say “we got this”, and not vote. I think a realistic view of the numbers is compatible with recognizing the urgency of political action.

I think the point is that that mid-30% ish number is a block of stone. Those are the die-hard Trump supporters that will prefer him no matter how badly he botches things. That’s a very large number—at least fifty million Americans. Those are the ones you need to worry about. How do you change their minds? How do you persuade them?

Liberals don’t need to defeat Trump; they need to find a new leader that the population can get behind. Hillary wasn’t it. Bernie could have been it. I think he was a better leader than Hillary proved to be.

I’m guessing the lowering of numbers has more to do with previously apathetic people getting their mad on. People who ignored polling before, didn’t respond, etc. And here we are, people who didn’t give a shit yesterday are our best hope.

Also, if that is the rule, I’m pretty sure a stadium is a building.