Things I'm Certain Of But Cannot Prove

Regarding taking time off for monthly cramps, I once read an article about that. It was probably an article in a newspaper magazine, so I’d guess it hasn’t been proven. But it was their belief (or the results of their survey) that the more a woman was paid, and the more control she had over her work, the less likely she was to take time off for cramps.

I believe that a study that would prove or disprove that is unlikely to be funded.

I’m certain that the JFK conspiracy theories were promoted by the Soviets as a misinformation campaign designed to undermine trust in the U.S. government by its citizens. They funded much of the publications, surreptitiously released fragmented information, and perhaps even doctored material in order to create confusion and distrust.

It was widely successful.

And this strategy was revived the last 2 decades, with another Russian war on the United States, focused on sewing distrust and contempt for the country by its citizens.

It has been even more successful.

I am also certain that the explosion of crack cocaine in the inner cities of America in the 1980s was a byproduct of Iran Contra.

The U.S. needed some way to get weapons to the Contras. They use drug smugglers, who were already flying down to South America to exchange cash for drugs. And so the U.S. government looked the other way when their planes arrived back in the U.S. loaded with their haul, which made its way via dealers into the inner cities of places like Los Angeles.

I agree with you on this. This is one of the reasons I believe a God of your own understanding is so important in building our identitiy. It is very eay to attach ourselves to things if we are lacking somewhere. I like to think of God as being everything good, I see myself as answering only to that goodness.

I’m certain that Trump has some serious dirt on Lindsay Graham that is used to blackmail him. I’m also fairly certain that the same is true of Putin having something that scares the hell out of Trump.

There’s been a lot of cases like that, but you might be thinking of Shaka Sankofa aka Gary Graham

Oh, I agree100% with this.

There is no way to prove this, but I’m certain that a significant number of women who said they’d rather encounter a bear in the woods than a man would not opt for the bear in real life.

I mean, there are a significant number of women who actually have encountered bears in the woods. Most of these encounters end with the woman going “Oh, there’s a bear over there, I’d better go this other direction instead”.

On the local evening news, there was always a ‘health headlines’ segment (or a cheery “in other news” segment) where our local complacent lifelong News Goddess would drone on about exciting upcoming breakthroughs in this or that. Any day now! Scientists in Timbuktu are hard at work on a cure for disease-itis! … Did anyone ever keep track? Are those endless commercials for prescription drugs the result of those breakthroughs?

I agree. I’ve thought this myself since I was in my teens. Two decades later, I bottle fed my baby with glass bottles only.

i think the main reason there are increasing number of cancer cases each year is because we are getting better at treating and curing just about everything leaving people living “healthier” and longer to develop cancer.

Then how do you explain the fact that the group with the highest number of cancer cases is the 15-39 age group?

Cancer in Children and Adolescents - NCI

I’m certain that a sizeable number of anti-gentrification arguments are really family-values arguments in disguise. “All these affluent young people, moving to cities and treating them like playgrounds, destroying the character of once-vibrant neighborhoods…” [“…when they should be moving to the suburbs and raising families like normal people!”].

I think it’s explained by you misreading your cite:

534.4 is greater than 75.3

Overall, cancer rates have been decreasing over the last 30 years.

https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/all.htmlhttps://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/all.html
from 500 cases per 100,000 in 1993 to 430 per 100,000 in 2022.

I think you need a better cite for this. This report on child & adolescent cancers says nothing about having more cancer cases per capita than any other age group; just that it’s the leading cause of death in that age group. Is there something else that covers your assertion?

ETA; ninja’ed by a much better post

I agree that Earth-like planets are probably rare, but Mars-like planets seem much more likely. Most planets in that size range will probably resemble Mars in some respects.

That seems to assume that any interstellar ship would be making the journey blind, without any idea of what the environment is like in the target system. It is much more likely that the target system will have been mapped in great detail by powerful telescopes, probably using interferometry or gravitational lensing, and the explorers will have a very good idea of what they will find when they get there.

And also, by the time an interstellar voyage can take place, we will almost certainly be well-practiced at converting asteroids and comets into usable materials. If there was a planet with pre-existing life we would almost certainly regard it as a level-4 biohazard zone until thoroughly proven otherwise.

Yep, my bad. Totally misread the figures before I posted the link.

This one always made sense to me as well. Including why they would refuse to admit it.

Okay… I’m not “certain” but the one conspiracy theory that I developed myself and think is possible…

Magic Johnson never had HIV.
He was misdiagnosed in order to create a public, celebrity face for the epidemic.