Top-Of-Head, Bottom-Of-Gut, Direct-From-Rectum: 2016

Seconded. There’s a huge gap in between even a centrist Dem like Hillary and the most liberal elected Republican. Just think of the difference in the Supreme Court Justices they’d appoint. Or whether Obamacare would continue to be in place, or would be defunded.

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Just like its nickname implies, Pennsylvania is the Key stone for this election.

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I disagree. There are demographic changes that explain why states like Virginia, Colorado, and Nevada have changed their voting habits as much as they have in recent years. What demographic changes would be moving Pennsylvania to the right? Also, as I’ve said elsewhere, it’s easier for a smaller group to change rapidly than a larger group. Pennsylvania’s size and relative consistency in demographic terms make it unlikely that Pennsylvania is winnable for the Republicans in anything less than a pretty substantial GOP win.

After Florida and Ohio, the GOP route to victory IMHO would run through states that are getting older and whiter, like Iowa, and states that are moving Demwards, but maybe aren’t solidly in the Dem column yet, like the aforementioned Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia.

Nah, Burning Down the House because of ‘House’ and ‘talking heads.’ :slight_smile: