Snfaulkner, thanks for the updated summary. (You missed some coloring on Octarine, but the effort is still very useful.) Here’s my take.
Day One looks like a town screw-up with a confirmed minor scum assist and possible a major assist in the votes of me (HookerChemical) Dead Cat, and snfaulkner. Biotop comes out looking pretty townie for being on the Prof P side of the vote. SP’s vote for snfaulkner for cheese references is a poor excuse for a vote, even for Day One. It would be more scummy had he been present for the last couple days of the Day, where it was time to take a stand on Sario/Prof P. As it is, it reads to me like scum stashing a throw away vote somewhere relatively nontelling, but it could be a townie making a weaksauce vote early and not coming back to make a substantial vote. Given SP’s experience, I lean toward the former.
Day Two isn’t very telling. There are only two confirmed town voting for WFT (TexCat and Dante or snfaulkner). All living players voted for WFT, so I don’t think we can make much of it. The Mahaloth vote against me is the type of “safe” scum throw away vote I’m referring to above.
Day Three is the weird Mahaloth lynch. Dead Cat, snfaulkner, and I (HookerChemical) voted Mahaloth pre-confession. Biotop joined after. I interpret this as townie for the pre-confession votes and neutral for the votes after the confession. It’s possible that the timing was intended to give cover to a scum voting, but three votes came in very quickly (3 posts apart, roughly 20 minutes) and they were led off by a known townie, so a scum conspiracy to lynch scum looks unlikely. Strangely, Dante and SP didn’t vote Mahaloth despite the confession. This is so weird, it’s hard to say whether it’s scummy or not.
Day Four was the Octarine mislynch, which I’ve given my rundown of. I think veteran SP convinced relative newbies to join in the mislynch (and a potential wolf). If SP is town, this was a town/town scenario, and I’m hard pressed to make much sense of it because it would have required scum jumping ship from the SP lynch to the Octarine lynch. (You can’t discount the possibility that both Dante and I are scum, but hope you think that scenario looks absurd as well.)
I’m still in the “SP is scum” camp. The votes make sense if SP is scum. I really hope I’m wrong about my SP/Dante theory and that he’s the alpha since that gives us two clear players (likely one after the night), but for now we hunt where we have a much better chance of finding scum.