I find political bumper stickers to be a bad idea anyway - cars generally last much longer than the candidates do, and who wants to be the guy still driving around with a “Bush/Cheney” sticker years later?
Depending on his inaugural address it could swing wildly. A great address might bring him up into the 50’s.
Around January next year, people will be dealing with the reality of their taxes & insurance costs… my guess is that neither of those will match his promises or the expectations of some of his less fervent followers, so, high 20s/low 30s.
I think he does have a floor of about 25 - give or take, but I also think he has a ceiling of around 55.
I’ve been wrong about him before, I could very well be wrong here. I’m hoping that he’ll surprise me and be not a disaster.
Not gonna happen. When the shit hits the fan, Trump will be blaming the press, Obama and even his fellow Republicans in congress. And the people will eat it up with a big old spoon. 30 - 40% is as low as he can go.
I voted <20%.
Wait, after only one year? Well, yeah, still could be. Since he won’t be in the middle of a campaign as such, it could actually dip to a low for lack of a coordinated effort to bump it up.
Voted 60-70.
Trump is in an advantageous position, he can only exceed expectations. One thing this guy is good at - surprising people.
Just wanted to thank BeepKillBeep for a terrific post.
Trump making a great speech? I would put the probability of that at 3.5%.
Even at his low point, Bush had a 25% approval rating. So I figure Trump will be in the 30-40% range for much of his presidency.
Fivethirtyeight has him at 39.5, and RCP has it at 40.1.
Maybe no clear winner between 30-40 and 40-50, but I would give the edge to the former as that’s where he has spent most of the year, and he happens to be in a blip up at this moment. Regardless, it seems like we underestimated his base slightly by having more people vote in the 20-30 range.
Ouch. I had voted 30-40, assuming (hoping?) it would be toward the lower end of that range, but I’ll take the “win” (sadly). I agree that 39 to 40 is a fair guess of his approval rating nowadays, smoothing out the recent blip a bit while still acknowledging its existence.