US Midterm Election watch along thread

In Oregon, Tina Kotek’s lead is increasing. :grinning:

The Kansas gubernatorial race has not had an update since late last night. I suspect they are counting mail-in ballots and waiting for additional ballots to arrive. It’s possible that it won’t be called for several days.

Governor Laura Kelly jumped out to a big early lead, but the margin steadily shrunk throughout the evening. Right now, with ‘>95%’ of the votes counted (according to AP), Kelly’s lead is 14,255. There may be as many as 50,000 votes to count, so nothing is decided quite yet.

As an update to an earlier post I made regarding this race, the Independent candidate (GOP state senator, running on his own), and the Libertarian candidate have amassed over 30,000 votes between them. Without these two running, this election is a likely win for GOP candidate Derek Schmidt.

And thank goodness for that.

Nitpick: She’s in CO-3. Hope those numbers hold up. Looks like the new district, CO-8 is close as well–I think that was by design.

I live in CO-2, and am happily represented by Joe Neguse (D), who will probably win 2:1. We were formerly represented by now-Gov. Jared Polis. Something would have to go very strange for a Republican to win here.

Railer13, we appreciate the info, but you’ll be happy to know networks called the race for Governor Kelly several hours ago.

(The bad news from Kansas, though, is the resurrection of the awful, slithery, immigrant-bashing Kris Kobach).

https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2022-us-governor-election-results-live-map

Indeed.

The most recent Senate map I just saw had Dems 46, GOP 48 Ind 2 (Caucus with Dems), with three seats not solid, two of which lean Dem(GA and AZ), one leans GOP (NV). But I guess GA will be a run -off?

Whatever the end is, there was no Red Wave as predicted.

I had not heard that! Thank you! I’ve been only following the NYT and AP web pages.

And fuck Kris Kobach.

ETA: the AP called it about 2 hours ago.

The Independents are King in ME and Sanders in VT.

AK will go to one of two Reps because of their run off system so it is essentially 49-48 GOP right now. AZ and NV are undecided as is GA which will go to a run off.

How much of DeSantis and Abbott’s wins are due to their states being red, and how much is due to Florida and Texas’s Democratic Party being incompetent?

You got it. Yes, a Georgia runoff, in four weeks. Usually that would favor a Republican candidate (they just tend to be more reliable voters in off-year or off-month elections), but some say that, without Kemp on the ballot (considered a relatively moderate Republican), fewer Republicans will come out to vote, and Warnock will win.

Time to start hand-writing those postcard reminders to would-be Warnock voters, again…

Yep, whichever side can take 2 out of 3 of AZ, NV and GA will have the majority in the next Senate.

The problem will be if it’s for control of the Senate. Then those conservatives will hold their nose and vote for Walker, alas.

My fears, exactly. Split ticket voters who voted for Kemp, but not Walker may reconsider if it comes down to control of the Senate. They may decide that he’s not so bad, because at least he’s not a Democrat, etc. I still hope that Warnock can pull it off again. He’s actually very popular in Georgia with Democrats and independents, where Walker isn’t personally popular with many Republicans. He falls into the “I’ll vote for a rabid hyena as long as it isn’t a Democrat” category.

Let alone a Red Tsunami that had been predicted by certain Republicans.

It’s all Melania’s fault:

It’s a better decision than marrying Trump.

I’m delighted, if not a bit gobsmacked, to learn this morning that my state passed some slightly meaningful gun control legislation.

Our Measure 114, soon to be law, requires a background check, safety training, a fee for a permit to acquire firearms (not just concealed carry!) and a few other things. It also limits magazine capacities to 10 rounds going forward, though there is a grandfather clause for current owners/inheritors.

Oregon, yes?
Wow, that’s great! Why isn’t it big news?

Oregon, yes.

Monty Python was eerily prescient 50 years ago: