US Midterm Election watch along thread

Nice. And for more levity, FiveThirtyEight’s summary title of a CA ballot measure gave me a chuckle:

Proposition 31: Tobacco Must Taste Like Tobacco

Bad news for anyone who prefers their addictive brown leaves to taste like something more delicious. Sixty-two percent of Californians voted to uphold a ban on flavored tobacco products, ending the sale of everything from old reliable menthol cigarettes to whimsically flavored vaping liquids.

I think it will be big news when all the discussion of candidates dies down. This is an open carry state, and anything gun-control-related has often gone the way of the dodo. That said, we have suffered several mass shooting incidents. Maybe people are finally waking up. Responsible gun owners shouldn’t have any problem with this legislation. And they didn’t!

It’s hard to conceive of a worse decision.

Too bad WI stuck with their crazy Ronnie.

Questions of the hour- are there enough uncounted votes in NV to keep the state blue? Isn’t it about time they called AZ for Kelly?

But what are the consequences for violating any of the new laws? I seem to recall something in the voter’s pamphlet about there being no language about consequences if gun owners simply ignore the new regs.

I don’t think there will be many consequences for current gun owners.

Where I expect to see change is from the regulations going forward. Fewer high-capacity magazines in the mix, more scrutiny of and better safety training for new gun owners. Over time, it will have a positive effect.

Not gonna happen because they are all law abiding citizens-They said so!

Jon Ralston did a piece trying to figure this out but we don’t know until they say how many mail-in ballots they received. Which they won’t know until the 12th since mail-ins have that long to arrive.

for nevada, usps has until saturday to deliver ballots post marked 11/8/2022, people have until monday to cure ballots. over 5000 ballots need to be cured at this time, this number may rise. 5555 provisional ballots are undergoing processing, these are electronic votes.

drop boxes and usps ballots from monday and tuesday are being processed now.

The question is will the supreme court?

deleting this as this is not a good place for a gun control debate.

I am trying to do the Senate math. Dems have 46, likely 47, +2 indy. GOP has 48+ 1 maybe. +1 runoff.

So, say 49 Dem votes, 49 GOP votes, 1 run off. Where is the missing seat?

Even if the GOP gets GA, that only bring them to 50, right?

Assuming AK is red, AZ, NV, and GA are yet to be determined. Whoever wins two of those latter three controls the Senate.

GOP has 49 if you include Alaska
Dem has 48 including independents.

NV is leaning GOP right now.
AZ is leaning Dem right now.

GA will go to runoff.

Dems need 50 to win since they have the VP vote. Reps need 51 to win.

I think it’s the Alaska seat, which isn’t “official” yet but is a GOP seat.

I hope someone is keeping an eye on those post offices.

Thanks. And I apologize – I didn’t mean to introduce an element of gun control debate into this thread, but this legislation is a big deal in Oregon, so I wanted to mention it.

Yeah… about that.

I mailed my rent check on October 25th. The office just got it today.

I do wonder if there was a slowdown specifically to delay vote by mail ballots.

yes, it should be in the republican count as they are the only candidates.

48 D - 49 R is the senate count now. 3 races to go, one decided by dec., two by end of this week or next week.

Or still not freakin’ divorcing him.

Most of the coverage is on the Senate, but there’s one usually R House seat that may go D this time. You may remember the Mary Peltola (D) won the bye-election for Representative in Alaska earlier this year. The same people are on the ballot for the next term and it’s looking good for Peltola. The BBC has this result, which I assume is only tabulating voters’ first choices:

Alaska at large Party Votes Pct.
Mary Peltola* Democrat 100,538 47.1%
Sarah Palin Republican 56,791 26.6%
Nick Begich Republican 51,765 24.3%
Chris Bye Libertarian 3,704 1.7%

71% of votes counted.

If those percentages hold out, Peltola is almost certain to win, due to lots of Begich voters not liking Palin and so giving Peltola their 2nd choice. At least that’s how she won the special election.

Probably some provision in their prenup that makes it disadvantageous for her to do so at this time.